Lake Macquarie 0-1 New Lambton FC — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Australia - National Premier League, 22 Jun 2024

📅22/06/2024 · 🕒09:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-2 2nd Score 2-2
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
22%
3.75
Draw
27%
4.08
Away
51%
1.68
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
42%
2.89
Over 2.5
58%
1.38
Both Teams to Score
Yes
60%
1.43
No
40%
2.6
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
21%
2-3 Goals
41%
4-5 Goals
22%
6+ Goals
16%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
7%
1/2
13%
1/X
5%
X/1
7%
X/2
16%
X/X
14%
2/1
7%
2/2
22%
2/X
9%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
💡 For the risk lovers: Away Win ★★★ — pattern-based signals at fair odds; informational, not a sized bet.
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
22%
Home Win
23%
-1.3pp
27%
Draw
21%
+6.1pp
51%
Away Win
55%
-4.9pp
42%
Under 2.5
31%
+11.0pp
58%
Over 2.5
69%
-11.0pp
60%
BTTS Yes
66%
-6.1pp
40%
BTTS No
34%
+6.1pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Lake Macquarie EU Bookmakers 27%
Head to Head
AWAY New Lambton FC EU Bookmakers 60%
-2% / -2% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +30% / +30%
1.66/1.84 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 4.00/1.00
+21% / +3% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +89% / +16%
45% Ball Possession 55%
11 Total Shots 15
4 Shots on Target 7
4 Corners 7
267 · 72% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 403 · 81%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
2.3 Yellow Cards 0.0
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Lake Macquarie
1W-0D-2L
AWAY New Lambton FC
1.00 Avg Goals (FT) 2.67
55% Ball Possession 46%
13 Total Shots 22
6 Shots on Target 12
4 Corners 6
2 Yellow Cards 0
23.03.2024 New Lambton FC New Lambton FC 1-2 HT 0-0 Lake Macquarie Lake Macquarie AVNPL
13.08.2023 Lake Macquarie Lake Macquarie 1-4 HT 0-3 New Lambton FC New Lambton FC AVNPL
13.05.2023 New Lambton FC New Lambton FC 3-0 HT 2-0 Lake Macquarie Lake Macquarie AVNPL
POST-MATCH Lake Macquarie vs New Lambton FC
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

New Lambton FC edged past Lake Macquarie 1-0 away from home. The game was level at 0-0 at the break, so the decisive goals came after it.

As we highlighted before kick-off, our model had New Lambton FC as the likeliest winner at 51%, and the 1-0 landed on that lead. The goals read — over 2.5 goals (58%), both teams to score (60%) — went the other way, though.

Coming into the game, across their last 3 meetings in our records, New Lambton FC led the recent series with 2 wins. Those games averaged 1.00 goals for Lake Macquarie and 2.67 for New Lambton FC.

What was the final score of Lake Macquarie vs New Lambton FC?

Lake Macquarie 0-1 New Lambton FC in the Australia - National Premier League on 22/06/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Lake Macquarie vs New Lambton FC?

Before kick-off our model rated an New Lambton FC win the most likely single outcome at about 51%, with the full match-result split Lake Macquarie 22%, draw 27%, New Lambton FC 51%. The final score 0-1 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (New Lambton FC) — while Over 2.5, BTTS Yes went the other way.

✓ Match Result (New Lambton FC) ✗ Over 2.5 ✗ BTTS Yes
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