New Lambton FC 1-2 Lake Macquarie — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Australia - National Premier League, 23 Mar 2024

📅23/03/2024 · 🕒08:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 2-1 2nd Score 3-1
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
55%
1.37
Draw
24%
4.95
Away
21%
5.79
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
44%
3.17
Over 2.5
56%
1.33
Both Teams to Score
Yes
55%
1.5
No
45%
2.4
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
22%
2-3 Goals
39%
4-5 Goals
28%
6+ Goals
11%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
27%
1/2
5%
1/X
7%
X/1
21%
X/2
9%
X/X
11%
2/1
6%
2/2
7%
2/X
7%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
54%
Home Win
69%
-14.1pp
24%
Draw
17%
+7.3pp
21%
Away Win
14%
+6.8pp
44%
Under 2.5
28%
+15.7pp
56%
Over 2.5
72%
-15.7pp
55%
BTTS Yes
62%
-7.9pp
45%
BTTS No
38%
+7.9pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME New Lambton FC EU Bookmakers 73%
Head to Head
AWAY Lake Macquarie EU Bookmakers 17%
+28% / +28% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations -12% / -12%
3.00/0.00 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 0.75/2.72
+18% / Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -38% / -22%
57% Ball Possession 43%
15 Total Shots 10
7 Shots on Target 4
6 Corners 4
481 · 85% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 260 · 74%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
1.0 Yellow Cards 3.3
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME New Lambton FC
2W-0D-0L
AWAY Lake Macquarie
3.50 Avg Goals (FT) 0.50
46% Ball Possession 55%
22 Total Shots 13
12 Shots on Target 6
6 Corners 4
0 Yellow Cards 2
13.08.2023 Lake Macquarie Lake Macquarie 1-4 HT 0-3 New Lambton FC New Lambton FC AVNPL
13.05.2023 New Lambton FC New Lambton FC 3-0 HT 2-0 Lake Macquarie Lake Macquarie AVNPL
POST-MATCH New Lambton FC vs Lake Macquarie
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Lake Macquarie edged past New Lambton FC 2-1 away from home. The game was level at 0-0 at the break, so the decisive goals came after it.

Our pre-match lean was New Lambton FC at 54%, but a lead that slim is closer to a coin-flip than a call — and it fell the other way. We had also flagged over 2.5 goals (56%), both teams to score (55%), and both reads landed as well.

Coming into the game, across their last 2 meetings in our records, New Lambton FC had the better of it with 2 wins. Those games averaged 3.50 goals for New Lambton FC and 0.50 for Lake Macquarie.

What was the final score of New Lambton FC vs Lake Macquarie?

New Lambton FC 1-2 Lake Macquarie in the Australia - National Premier League on 23/03/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for New Lambton FC vs Lake Macquarie?

Before kick-off our model rated a New Lambton FC win the most likely single outcome at about 54%, with the full match-result split New Lambton FC 54%, draw 24%, Lake Macquarie 21%. The final score 1-2 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Over 2.5, BTTS Yes — while Match Result (New Lambton FC) went the other way.

✗ Match Result (New Lambton FC) ✓ Over 2.5 ✓ BTTS Yes
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