South Hobart 3-1 Clarence Zebras — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Australia - National Premier League, 23 Mar 2024

📅23/03/2024 · 🕒06:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 3-1 2nd Score 2-1
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
61%
1.18
Draw
18%
7.78
Away
21%
8.19
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
35%
1.0
Over 2.5
65%
Both Teams to Score
Yes
61%
1.5
No
39%
2.4
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
18%
2-3 Goals
33%
4-5 Goals
33%
6+ Goals
16%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
32%
1/2
5%
1/X
5%
X/1
21%
X/2
8%
X/X
6%
2/1
9%
2/2
8%
2/X
6%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
💡 For the risk lovers: Home Win ★★★ — pattern-based signals at fair odds; informational, not a sized bet.
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
62%
Home Win
80%
-18.8pp
18%
Draw
10%
+7.6pp
21%
Away Win
10%
+11.2pp
61%
BTTS Yes
62%
-1.2pp
39%
BTTS No
38%
+1.2pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME South Hobart EU Bookmakers 85%
Head to Head
AWAY Clarence Zebras EU Bookmakers 12%
-12% / -16% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +11% / +8%
3.57/1.04 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 0.97/3.05
+26% / -13% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -8% / -18%
57% Ball Possession 43%
18 Total Shots 9
8 Shots on Target 4
9 Corners 3
319 · 72% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 246 · 70%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
1.2 Yellow Cards 2.6
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME South Hobart
4W-1D-1L
AWAY Clarence Zebras
3.50 Avg Goals (FT) 1.67
55% Ball Possession 45%
16 Total Shots 11
9 Shots on Target 6
9 Corners 4
1 Yellow Cards 2
05.08.2023 Clarence Zebras Clarence Zebras 1-6 HT 0-2 South Hobart South Hobart AVNPL
03.06.2023 Clarence Zebras Clarence Zebras 5-4 South Hobart South Hobart AVNPL
26.03.2023 South Hobart South Hobart 2-2 Clarence Zebras Clarence Zebras AVNPL
04.09.2022 South Hobart South Hobart 3-2 Clarence Zebras Clarence Zebras AVNPL
09.07.2022 Clarence Zebras Clarence Zebras 0-2 South Hobart South Hobart AVNPL
30.04.2022 South Hobart South Hobart 4-0 Clarence Zebras Clarence Zebras AVNPL
POST-MATCH South Hobart vs Clarence Zebras
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

South Hobart saw off Clarence Zebras 3-1.

As we highlighted before kick-off, our model had South Hobart as the likeliest winner at 62%, and the 3-1 landed on that lead. The goals side of the card held up too — over 2.5 goals (65%), both teams to score (61%) came in.

For context: across their last 6 meetings in our records, South Hobart had the better of it with 4 wins, 1 drawn. Those games averaged 3.50 goals for South Hobart and 1.67 for Clarence Zebras.

What was the final score of South Hobart vs Clarence Zebras?

South Hobart 3-1 Clarence Zebras in the Australia - National Premier League on 23/03/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for South Hobart vs Clarence Zebras?

Before kick-off our model rated a South Hobart win the most likely single outcome at about 62%, with the full match-result split South Hobart 62%, draw 18%, Clarence Zebras 21%. The final score 3-1 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (South Hobart), Over 2.5, BTTS Yes — a clean sweep of the main markets.

✓ Match Result (South Hobart) ✓ Over 2.5 ✓ BTTS Yes
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