Croydon Kings 2-4 Adelaide United II — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Australia - National Premier League, 23 Mar 2024

📅23/03/2024 · 🕒07:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 0-1 2nd Score 1-1
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
41%
2.12
Draw
26%
3.72
Away
33%
2.62
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
52%
2.96
Over 2.5
48%
1.36
Both Teams to Score
Yes
51%
1.38
No
49%
2.81
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
25%
2-3 Goals
41%
4-5 Goals
23%
6+ Goals
11%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
20%
1/2
10%
1/X
7%
X/1
12%
X/2
10%
X/X
9%
2/1
9%
2/2
14%
2/X
9%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
41%
Home Win
43%
-1.8pp
26%
Draw
23%
+2.6pp
33%
Away Win
34%
-0.8pp
52%
Under 2.5
30%
+22.2pp
48%
Over 2.5
70%
-22.2pp
51%
BTTS Yes
68%
-17.3pp
49%
BTTS No
32%
+17.3pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Croydon Kings EU Bookmakers 47%
Head to Head
AWAY Adelaide United II EU Bookmakers 38%
+5% / +3% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations -22% / -22%
1.90/1.42 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.12/1.91
+3% / +3% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -32% / -15%
45% Ball Possession 55%
11 Total Shots 12
5 Shots on Target 5
5 Corners 5
312 · 74% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 306 · 75%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
1.9 Yellow Cards 2.5
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Croydon Kings
2W-2D-2L
AWAY Adelaide United II
1.83 Avg Goals (FT) 1.83
45% Ball Possession 55%
16 Total Shots 12
7 Shots on Target 6
7 Corners 5
2 Yellow Cards 2
05.08.2023 Croydon Kings Croydon Kings 1-2 HT 0-1 Adelaide United II Adelaide United II AVNPL
30.04.2023 Adelaide United II Adelaide United II 1-1 HT 1-1 Croydon Kings Croydon Kings AVNPL
25.06.2022 Croydon Kings Croydon Kings 2-3 HT 2-1 Adelaide United II Adelaide United II AVNPL
26.03.2022 Adelaide United II Adelaide United II 3-4 HT 2-2 Croydon Kings Croydon Kings AVNPL
17.07.2021 Croydon Kings Croydon Kings 2-2 HT 1-1 Adelaide United II Adelaide United II AVNPL
17.04.2021 Adelaide United II Adelaide United II 0-1 HT 0-0 Croydon Kings Croydon Kings AVNPL
POST-MATCH Croydon Kings vs Adelaide United II
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Adelaide United II got the better of Croydon Kings 4-2 away from home. The game was level at 1-1 at the break, so the decisive goals came after it. 6 goals made it one of the day's more open games.

Our pre-match lean was Croydon Kings at 41%, but a lead that slim is closer to a coin-flip than a call — and it fell the other way.

Over 2.5 goals sat near a coin-flip at 48% and both teams to score was close to even at 51%.

For context: across their last 6 meetings in our records, honours were even at 2 apiece, 2 drawn. Those games averaged 1.83 goals for Croydon Kings and 1.83 for Adelaide United II.

What was the final score of Croydon Kings vs Adelaide United II?

Croydon Kings 2-4 Adelaide United II in the Australia - National Premier League on 23/03/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Croydon Kings vs Adelaide United II?

Before kick-off our model rated a Croydon Kings win the most likely single outcome at about 41%, with the full match-result split Croydon Kings 41%, draw 26%, Adelaide United II 33%. The final score 2-4 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on BTTS Yes — while Match Result (Croydon Kings), Under 2.5 went the other way.

✗ Match Result (Croydon Kings) ✗ Under 2.5 ✓ BTTS Yes
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