Lambton Jaffas 1-0 Newcastle Olympic — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Australia - National Premier League, 23 Mar 2024

📅23/03/2024 · 🕒06:30 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-2 2nd Score 3-1
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
48%
1.49
Draw
20%
4.34
Away
32%
4.85
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
46%
2.43
Over 2.5
54%
1.51
Both Teams to Score
Yes
50%
1.63
No
50%
2.13
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
27%
2-3 Goals
37%
4-5 Goals
25%
6+ Goals
11%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
22%
1/2
6%
1/X
8%
X/1
19%
X/2
14%
X/X
6%
2/1
7%
2/2
12%
2/X
6%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
48%
Home Win
63%
-15.1pp
20%
Draw
20%
+0.4pp
32%
Away Win
18%
+14.6pp
46%
Under 2.5
38%
+8.3pp
54%
Over 2.5
62%
-8.3pp
50%
BTTS Yes
57%
-7.4pp
50%
BTTS No
43%
+7.4pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Lambton Jaffas EU Bookmakers 67%
Head to Head
AWAY Newcastle Olympic EU Bookmakers 21%
-7% / -3% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +26% / +26%
1.96/1.26 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 0.92/1.04
-11% / -6% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -24% / +105%
54% Ball Possession 46%
16 Total Shots 12
7 Shots on Target 5
7 Corners 4
336 · 75% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 277 · 72%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
2.1 Yellow Cards 2.4
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Lambton Jaffas
3W-2D-1L
AWAY Newcastle Olympic
1.50 Avg Goals (FT) 1.00
47% Ball Possession 53%
12 Total Shots 15
5 Shots on Target 6
6 Corners 5
2 Yellow Cards 2
13.08.2023 Lambton Jaffas Lambton Jaffas 1-0 HT 1-0 Newcastle Olympic Newcastle Olympic AVNPL
13.05.2023 Newcastle Olympic Newcastle Olympic 3-2 HT 1-1 Lambton Jaffas Lambton Jaffas AVNPL
17.09.2022 Lambton Jaffas Lambton Jaffas 2-0 HT 0-0 Newcastle Olympic Newcastle Olympic AVNSW
14.08.2022 Newcastle Olympic Newcastle Olympic 1-1 HT 0-0 Lambton Jaffas Lambton Jaffas AVNPL
04.05.2022 Lambton Jaffas Lambton Jaffas 1-1 HT 1-1 Newcastle Olympic Newcastle Olympic AVNPL
17.07.2021 Newcastle Olympic Newcastle Olympic 1-2 HT 1-2 Lambton Jaffas Lambton Jaffas AVNPL
POST-MATCH Lambton Jaffas vs Newcastle Olympic
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Lambton Jaffas nicked a narrow win over Newcastle Olympic 1-0.

As our pre-match numbers suggested, our model had Lambton Jaffas as the likeliest winner at 48%, and the 1-0 landed on that lead.

Over 2.5 goals sat near a coin-flip at 54% and both teams to score was close to even at 50%.

Coming into the game, across their last 6 meetings in our records, Lambton Jaffas had the better of it with 3 wins, 2 drawn. Those games averaged 1.50 goals for Lambton Jaffas and 1.00 for Newcastle Olympic.

What was the final score of Lambton Jaffas vs Newcastle Olympic?

Lambton Jaffas 1-0 Newcastle Olympic in the Australia - National Premier League on 23/03/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Lambton Jaffas vs Newcastle Olympic?

Before kick-off our model rated a Lambton Jaffas win the most likely single outcome at about 48%, with the full match-result split Lambton Jaffas 48%, draw 20%, Newcastle Olympic 32%. The final score 1-0 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Lambton Jaffas) — while Over 2.5 went the other way.

✓ Match Result (Lambton Jaffas) ✗ Over 2.5
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