Maitland 1-1 Adamstown Rosebuds — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Australia - National Premier League, 23 Mar 2024

Maitland
1-1 HT 0-1
Adamstown Rosebuds
📅23/03/2024 · 🕒09:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 2-2 ✗ 2nd Score 3-1 ✗
Australia - National Premier League – 2024

Maitland vs Adamstown Rosebuds Prediction — Model Probabilities

MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
59%
1.22
Draw
20%
6.26
Away
21%
8.19
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
34%
4.0
Over 2.5
66%
1.22
Both Teams to Score
Yes
55%
1.6
No
45%
2.19
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
17%
2-3 Goals
34%
4-5 Goals
32%
6+ Goals
17%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
45%
1/2
8%
1/X
4%
X/1
5%
X/2
5%
X/X
7%
2/1
9%
2/2
8%
2/X
9%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
💡 For the risk lovers: Home Win ★★★ — pattern-based signals at fair odds; informational, not a sized bet.
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
59%
Home Win
78%
-18.8pp
20%
Draw
13%
+7.1pp
21%
Away Win
9%
+11.7pp
34%
Under 2.5
22%
+12.4pp
66%
Over 2.5
78%
-12.4pp
55%
BTTS Yes
58%
-3.4pp
45%
BTTS No
42%
+3.4pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.

Maitland v Adamstown Rosebuds — Team-Based Signals

PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Maitland EU Bookmakers 82%
Head to Head
AWAY Adamstown Rosebuds EU Bookmakers 12%
-28% / -28% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +11% / +22%
2.18/1.28 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.12/3.24
-24% / -29% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +7% / -23%
60% Ball Possession 40%
18 Total Shots 9
7 Shots on Target 3
6 Corners 4
443 · 84% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 306 · 78%
– Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area –
– Crosses –
2.0 Yellow Cards 1.8

Maitland vs Adamstown Rosebuds Head-to-Head — Last 6 Meetings

H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Maitland
5W-0D-1L
AWAY Adamstown Rosebuds
4.33 Avg Goals (FT) 0.67
57% Ball Possession 43%
21 Total Shots 10
11 Shots on Target 4
6 Corners 4
1 Yellow Cards 1
The Meetings
13.08.2023 Adamstown Rosebuds Adamstown Rosebuds 1-0 HT 0-0 Maitland Maitland AVNSW
13.05.2023 Maitland Maitland 5-0 HT 2-0 Adamstown Rosebuds Adamstown Rosebuds AVNSW
18.06.2022 Adamstown Rosebuds Adamstown Rosebuds 3-5 HT 1-1 Maitland Maitland AVNPL
05.04.2022 Maitland Maitland 6-0 HT 3-0 Adamstown Rosebuds Adamstown Rosebuds AVNSW
15.05.2021 Adamstown Rosebuds Adamstown Rosebuds 0-4 HT 0-2 Maitland Maitland AVNPL
20.09.2020 Adamstown Rosebuds Adamstown Rosebuds 0-6 Maitland Maitland AVNPL
POST-MATCH Maitland vs Adamstown Rosebuds
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Maitland and Adamstown Rosebuds couldn't be separated, finishing 1-1. Half-time: 0-1.

This one beat our numbers. Maitland carried 59% before kick-off and it didn't land — a reminder that even strong leads lose regularly. On goals, both teams to score (55%) landed while over 2.5 goals (66%) missed.

For context: across their last 6 meetings in our records, Maitland had the better of it with 5 wins. Those games averaged 4.33 goals for Maitland and 0.67 for Adamstown Rosebuds.

What was the final score of Maitland vs Adamstown Rosebuds?

Maitland 1-1 Adamstown Rosebuds in the Australia - National Premier League on 23/03/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Maitland vs Adamstown Rosebuds?

Before kick-off our model rated a Maitland win the most likely single outcome at about 59%, with the full match-result split Maitland 59%, draw 20%, Adamstown Rosebuds 21%. The final score 1-1 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on BTTS Yes — while Match Result (Maitland), Over 2.5 went the other way.

✗ Match Result (Maitland) ✗ Over 2.5 ✓ BTTS Yes
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