Kingborough Lions 1-2 Launceston City — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Australia - National Premier League, 17 Aug 2024

📅17/08/2024 · 🕒09:45 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 2-2 2nd Score 3-1
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
48%
1.76
Draw
26%
4.08
Away
26%
3.44
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
35%
2.98
Over 2.5
65%
1.36
Both Teams to Score
Yes
64%
1.38
No
36%
2.81
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
20%
2-3 Goals
27%
4-5 Goals
33%
6+ Goals
20%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
21%
1/2
9%
1/X
9%
X/1
18%
X/2
8%
X/X
11%
2/1
9%
2/2
8%
2/X
7%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
48%
Home Win
53%
-5.1pp
26%
Draw
21%
+5.0pp
26%
Away Win
26%
+0.0pp
35%
Under 2.5
30%
+4.6pp
65%
Over 2.5
70%
-4.6pp
64%
BTTS Yes
68%
-4.5pp
36%
BTTS No
32%
+4.5pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Kingborough Lions EU Bookmakers 57%
Head to Head
AWAY Launceston City EU Bookmakers 29%
+25% / +25% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +7% / +7%
2.00/0.00 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.73/1.69
-4% / Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +18% / +15%
53% Ball Possession 47%
14 Total Shots 14
6 Shots on Target 5
5 Corners 5
354 · 81% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 386 · 84%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
1.3 Yellow Cards 1.7
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Kingborough Lions
5W-0D-1L
AWAY Launceston City
2.50 Avg Goals (FT) 1.00
46% Ball Possession 54%
16 Total Shots 13
8 Shots on Target 5
5 Corners 4
2 Yellow Cards 2
22.06.2024 Launceston City Launceston City 1-3 Kingborough Lions Kingborough Lions AVNPL
13.04.2024 Kingborough Lions Kingborough Lions 2-1 Launceston City Launceston City AVNPL
19.08.2023 Kingborough Lions Kingborough Lions 2-0 Launceston City Launceston City AVNPL
24.06.2023 Launceston City Launceston City 0-2 Kingborough Lions Kingborough Lions AVNPL
15.04.2023 Launceston City Launceston City 4-3 HT 3-1 Kingborough Lions Kingborough Lions AVNPL
03.09.2022 Launceston City Launceston City 0-3 Kingborough Lions Kingborough Lions AVNPL
POST-MATCH Kingborough Lions vs Launceston City
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Launceston City nicked a narrow win over Kingborough Lions 2-1 away from home.

Our pre-match lean was Kingborough Lions at 48%, but a lead that slim is closer to a coin-flip than a call — and it fell the other way. We had also flagged over 2.5 goals (65%), both teams to score (64%), and both reads landed as well.

Coming into the game, across their last 6 meetings in our records, Kingborough Lions had the better of it with 5 wins. Those games averaged 2.50 goals for Kingborough Lions and 1.00 for Launceston City.

What was the final score of Kingborough Lions vs Launceston City?

Kingborough Lions 1-2 Launceston City in the Australia - National Premier League on 17/08/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Kingborough Lions vs Launceston City?

Before kick-off our model rated a Kingborough Lions win the most likely single outcome at about 48%, with the full match-result split Kingborough Lions 48%, draw 26%, Launceston City 26%. The final score 1-2 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Over 2.5, BTTS Yes — while Match Result (Kingborough Lions) went the other way.

✗ Match Result (Kingborough Lions) ✓ Over 2.5 ✓ BTTS Yes
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