O Connor Knights 2-1 Canberra FC — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Australia - National Premier League, 17 Aug 2024

📅17/08/2024 · 🕒08:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-2 2nd Score 2-2
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
33%
2.33
Draw
21%
3.64
Away
46%
2.47
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
35%
2.43
Over 2.5
65%
1.51
Both Teams to Score
Yes
61%
1.43
No
39%
2.6
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
19%
2-3 Goals
34%
4-5 Goals
23%
6+ Goals
24%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
14%
1/2
7%
1/X
5%
X/1
13%
X/2
11%
X/X
10%
2/1
6%
2/2
28%
2/X
6%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
33%
Home Win
39%
-6.1pp
21%
Draw
24%
-2.9pp
46%
Away Win
37%
+9.1pp
35%
Under 2.5
38%
-2.3pp
65%
Over 2.5
62%
+2.3pp
61%
BTTS Yes
66%
-4.3pp
39%
BTTS No
34%
+4.3pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME O Connor Knights EU Bookmakers 43%
Head to Head
AWAY Canberra FC EU Bookmakers 40%
-4% / -4% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +29% / +29%
1.21/1.51 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 3.13/1.89
-30% / +5% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +89% / -14%
48% Ball Possession 52%
14 Total Shots 13
5 Shots on Target 5
5 Corners 4
351 · 78% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 325 · 78%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
1.8 Yellow Cards 2.4
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME O Connor Knights
2W-3D-1L
AWAY Canberra FC
1.67 Avg Goals (FT) 1.50
54% Ball Possession 46%
12 Total Shots 12
5 Shots on Target 5
8 Corners 7
3 Yellow Cards 4
22.06.2024 O Connor Knights O Connor Knights 2-4 Canberra FC Canberra FC AVNPL
05.05.2024 Canberra FC Canberra FC 1-3 O Connor Knights O Connor Knights AVNPL
23.09.2023 O Connor Knights O Connor Knights 1-1 HT 1-1 Canberra FC Canberra FC AVTCT
22.07.2023 O Connor Knights O Connor Knights 2-2 Canberra FC Canberra FC AVTCT
28.05.2023 Canberra FC Canberra FC 0-1 O Connor Knights O Connor Knights AVNPL
01.04.2023 O Connor Knights O Connor Knights 1-1 Canberra FC Canberra FC AVNPL
POST-MATCH O Connor Knights vs Canberra FC
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

O Connor Knights squeezed past Canberra FC 2-1.

Our pre-match lean was Canberra FC at 46%, but a lead that slim is closer to a coin-flip than a call — and it fell the other way. We had also flagged over 2.5 goals (65%), both teams to score (61%), and both reads landed as well.

Coming into the game, across their last 6 meetings in our records, O Connor Knights had the better of it with 2 wins, 3 drawn. Those games averaged 1.67 goals for O Connor Knights and 1.50 for Canberra FC.

What was the final score of O Connor Knights vs Canberra FC?

O Connor Knights 2-1 Canberra FC in the Australia - National Premier League on 17/08/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for O Connor Knights vs Canberra FC?

Before kick-off our model rated an Canberra FC win the most likely single outcome at about 46%, with the full match-result split O Connor Knights 33%, draw 21%, Canberra FC 46%. The final score 2-1 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Over 2.5, BTTS Yes — while Match Result (Canberra FC) went the other way.

✗ Match Result (Canberra FC) ✓ Over 2.5 ✓ BTTS Yes
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