Canberra FC 1-3 O Connor Knights — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Australia - National Premier League, 5 May 2024

Canberra FC
1-3
O Connor Knights
📅05/05/2024 · 🕒08:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-1 ✗ 2nd Score 1-0 ✗
Australia - National Premier League – 2024

Canberra FC vs O Connor Knights Prediction — Model Probabilities

MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
36%
2.67
Draw
29%
3.8
Away
35%
2.03
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
50%
2.89
Over 2.5
50%
1.38
Both Teams to Score
Yes
52%
1.39
No
48%
2.75
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
29%
2-3 Goals
36%
4-5 Goals
23%
6+ Goals
12%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
19%
1/2
8%
1/X
11%
X/1
10%
X/2
8%
X/X
10%
2/1
7%
2/2
19%
2/X
8%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
36%
Home Win
33%
+2.8pp
29%
Draw
22%
+7.0pp
35%
Away Win
45%
-9.8pp
50%
Under 2.5
31%
+18.4pp
50%
Over 2.5
69%
-18.4pp
52%
BTTS Yes
68%
-16.0pp
48%
BTTS No
32%
+16.0pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.

Canberra FC v O Connor Knights — Team-Based Signals

PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Canberra FC EU Bookmakers 37%
Head to Head
AWAY O Connor Knights EU Bookmakers 49%
-5% / -5% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +44% / +44%
1.22/1.57 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 2.00/1.00
-22% / +7% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +8% / +42%
49% Ball Possession 51%
12 Total Shots 12
5 Shots on Target 5
4 Corners 5
298 · 75% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 329 · 77%
– Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area –
– Crosses –
4.0 Yellow Cards 3.0

Canberra FC vs O Connor Knights Head-to-Head — Last 6 Meetings

H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Canberra FC
1W-3D-2L
AWAY O Connor Knights
1.33 Avg Goals (FT) 1.00
50% Ball Possession 50%
13 Total Shots 10
6 Shots on Target 4
6 Corners 6
4 Yellow Cards 3
The Meetings
23.09.2023 O Connor Knights O Connor Knights 1-1 HT 1-1 Canberra FC Canberra FC AVTCT
22.07.2023 O Connor Knights O Connor Knights 2-2 Canberra FC Canberra FC AVTCT
28.05.2023 Canberra FC Canberra FC 0-1 O Connor Knights O Connor Knights AVNPL
01.04.2023 O Connor Knights O Connor Knights 1-1 Canberra FC Canberra FC AVNPL
03.09.2022 O Connor Knights O Connor Knights 1-0 Canberra FC Canberra FC AVNPL
16.07.2022 O Connor Knights O Connor Knights 0-4 Canberra FC Canberra FC AVNPL
POST-MATCH Canberra FC vs O Connor Knights
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

O Connor Knights beat Canberra FC 3-1 away from home.

Our pre-match split (36% / 29% / 35%) promised a tight game; O Connor Knights found the edge the numbers couldn't.

Over 2.5 goals sat near a coin-flip at 50% and both teams to score was close to even at 52%.

Coming into the game, across their last 6 meetings in our records, O Connor Knights led the recent series with 2 wins, 3 drawn. Those games averaged 1.33 goals for Canberra FC and 1.00 for O Connor Knights.

What was the final score of Canberra FC vs O Connor Knights?

Canberra FC 1-3 O Connor Knights in the Australia - National Premier League on 05/05/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Canberra FC vs O Connor Knights?

Before kick-off our model rated a Canberra FC win the most likely single outcome at about 36%, with the full match-result split Canberra FC 36%, draw 29%, O Connor Knights 35%. The final score 1-3 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on BTTS Yes — while Match Result (Canberra FC) went the other way.

✗ Match Result (Canberra FC) ✓ BTTS Yes
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