Sydney II 1-7 APIA Leichhardt Tigers — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Australia - National Premier League, 5 May 2024

📅05/05/2024 · 🕒10:30 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 2-2 2nd Score 1-3
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
25%
7.18
Draw
24%
5.71
Away
51%
1.28
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
37%
3.59
Over 2.5
63%
1.26
Both Teams to Score
Yes
61%
1.56
No
39%
2.27
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
20%
2-3 Goals
30%
4-5 Goals
32%
6+ Goals
18%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
13%
1/2
5%
1/X
10%
X/1
7%
X/2
18%
X/X
10%
2/1
4%
2/2
29%
2/X
4%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
💡 For the risk lovers: Away Win ★★★ — pattern-based signals at fair odds; informational, not a sized bet.
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
25%
Home Win
11%
+13.5pp
24%
Draw
15%
+9.6pp
51%
Away Win
74%
-23.0pp
37%
Under 2.5
24%
+12.8pp
63%
Over 2.5
76%
-12.8pp
61%
BTTS Yes
60%
+0.8pp
39%
BTTS No
40%
-0.8pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Sydney II EU Bookmakers 14%
Head to Head
AWAY APIA Leichhardt Tigers EU Bookmakers 78%
+23% / +23% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations -14% / -14%
2.00/1.23 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.96/1.13
+119% / +31% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -9% / -38%
41% Ball Possession 59%
11 Total Shots 14
4 Shots on Target 6
5 Corners 6
270 · 74% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 505 · 85%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
14.7 Crosses 18.8
1.4 Yellow Cards 1.9
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Sydney II
3W-1D-2L
AWAY APIA Leichhardt Tigers
2.00 Avg Goals (FT) 1.67
1.19 xG 2.18
42% Ball Possession 58%
10 Total Shots 21
5 Shots on Target 6
4 Corners 7
271 Passes 392
71% Pass Accuracy 76%
13 Crosses 27
1 Yellow Cards 1
13.08.2023 APIA Leichhardt Tigers APIA Leichhardt Tigers 3-0 HT 1-0 Sydney II Sydney II AVNPL
28.04.2023 Sydney II Sydney II 4-0 HT 3-0 APIA Leichhardt Tigers APIA Leichhardt Tigers AVNPL
25.06.2022 APIA Leichhardt Tigers APIA Leichhardt Tigers 1-1 HT 1-1 Sydney II Sydney II AVNPL
10.04.2022 Sydney II Sydney II 4-3 HT 2-0 APIA Leichhardt Tigers APIA Leichhardt Tigers AVNPL
18.04.2021 Sydney II Sydney II 2-3 HT 0-2 APIA Leichhardt Tigers APIA Leichhardt Tigers AVNPL
21.08.2020 APIA Leichhardt Tigers APIA Leichhardt Tigers 0-1 HT 0-1 Sydney II Sydney II AVNPL
POST-MATCH Sydney II vs APIA Leichhardt Tigers
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

APIA Leichhardt Tigers swept aside Sydney II 7-1 away from home. Half-time: 0-5. 8 goals made it one of the day's more open games.

As we said in the preview, our model had APIA Leichhardt Tigers as the likeliest winner at 51%, and the 7-1 landed on that lead. We had also flagged over 2.5 goals (63%), both teams to score (61%), and both reads landed as well.

For context: across their last 6 meetings in our records, Sydney II had the better of it with 3 wins, 1 drawn. Those games averaged 2.00 goals for Sydney II and 1.67 for APIA Leichhardt Tigers.

What was the final score of Sydney II vs APIA Leichhardt Tigers?

Sydney II 1-7 APIA Leichhardt Tigers in the Australia - National Premier League on 05/05/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Sydney II vs APIA Leichhardt Tigers?

Before kick-off our model rated an APIA Leichhardt Tigers win the most likely single outcome at about 51%, with the full match-result split Sydney II 25%, draw 24%, APIA Leichhardt Tigers 51%. The final score 1-7 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (APIA Leichhardt Tigers), Over 2.5, BTTS Yes — a clean sweep of the main markets.

✓ Match Result (APIA Leichhardt Tigers) ✓ Over 2.5 ✓ BTTS Yes
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