Sydney United 3-2 Western Sydney W. II — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Australia - National Premier League, 5 May 2024

📅05/05/2024 · 🕒08:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 2-2 2nd Score 1-2
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
35%
2.67
Draw
28%
3.8
Away
37%
2.03
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
37%
3.46
Over 2.5
63%
1.28
Both Teams to Score
Yes
62%
1.31
No
38%
3.14
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
18%
2-3 Goals
34%
4-5 Goals
32%
6+ Goals
16%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
12%
1/2
13%
1/X
6%
X/1
14%
X/2
11%
X/X
14%
2/1
9%
2/2
13%
2/X
8%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
💡 For the risk lovers: Away Win ★★ — pattern-based signals at fair odds; informational, not a sized bet.
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
35%
Home Win
33%
+1.6pp
28%
Draw
22%
+5.7pp
37%
Away Win
45%
-7.3pp
37%
Under 2.5
25%
+11.4pp
63%
Over 2.5
75%
-11.4pp
62%
BTTS Yes
72%
-10.6pp
38%
BTTS No
28%
+10.6pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Sydney United EU Bookmakers 37%
Head to Head
AWAY Western Sydney W. II EU Bookmakers 49%
+0% / +1% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations -2% / -2%
1.58/1.74 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.32/0.95
+27% / -17% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -16% / -6%
46% Ball Possession 54%
11 Total Shots 12
4 Shots on Target 5
5 Corners 5
304 · 74% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 339 · 75%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
17.1 Crosses 16.2
3.0 Yellow Cards 3.0
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Sydney United
2W-0D-1L
AWAY Western Sydney W. II
3.67 Avg Goals (FT) 3.67
1.92 xG 2.29
49% Ball Possession 51%
18 Total Shots 15
6 Shots on Target 5
5 Corners 6
347 Passes 351
81% Pass Accuracy 81%
25 Crosses 17
2 Yellow Cards 0
10.06.2023 Sydney United Sydney United 3-6 HT 0-2 Western Sydney W. II Western Sydney W. II AVNPL
26.02.2023 Western Sydney W. II Western Sydney W. II 3-4 HT 1-1 Sydney United Sydney United AVNPL
13.09.2020 Sydney United Sydney United 4-2 HT 1-2 Western Sydney W. II Western Sydney W. II AVNPL
POST-MATCH Sydney United vs Western Sydney W. II
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Sydney United nicked a narrow win over Western Sydney W. II 3-2. Half-time: 2-0. 5 goals made it one of the day's more open games.

We called this one close before kick-off — 35% / 28% / 37% — and on the day Sydney United made the difference. The goals side of the card held up too — over 2.5 goals (63%), both teams to score (62%) came in.

Coming into the game, across their last 3 meetings in our records, Sydney United had the better of it with 2 wins. Those games averaged 3.67 goals for Sydney United and 3.67 for Western Sydney W. II.

What was the final score of Sydney United vs Western Sydney W. II?

Sydney United 3-2 Western Sydney W. II in the Australia - National Premier League on 05/05/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Sydney United vs Western Sydney W. II?

Before kick-off our model rated an Western Sydney W. II win the most likely single outcome at about 37%, with the full match-result split Sydney United 35%, draw 28%, Western Sydney W. II 37%. The final score 3-2 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Over 2.5, BTTS Yes — while Match Result (Western Sydney W. II) went the other way.

✗ Match Result (Western Sydney W. II) ✓ Over 2.5 ✓ BTTS Yes
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