Yoogali 2-1 Gungahlin — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Australia - National Premier League, 17 Aug 2024

📅17/08/2024 · 🕒08:30 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-3 2nd Score 0-4
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
21%
12.23
Draw
19%
6.26
Away
60%
1.18
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
43%
3.94
Over 2.5
57%
1.22
Both Teams to Score
Yes
50%
1.76
No
50%
1.95
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
18%
2-3 Goals
40%
4-5 Goals
28%
6+ Goals
14%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
8%
1/2
9%
1/X
5%
X/1
8%
X/2
22%
X/X
9%
2/1
5%
2/2
29%
2/X
5%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
💡 For the risk lovers: Away Win ★★★ — pattern-based signals at fair odds; informational, not a sized bet.
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
21%
Home Win
6%
+15.0pp
19%
Draw
13%
+5.7pp
60%
Away Win
81%
-20.8pp
43%
Under 2.5
22%
+21.1pp
57%
Over 2.5
78%
-21.1pp
50%
BTTS Yes
53%
-2.6pp
50%
BTTS No
47%
+2.6pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Yoogali EU Bookmakers 8%
Head to Head
AWAY Gungahlin EU Bookmakers 85%
+2% / +2% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations -15% / -15%
0.80/2.78 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 2.71/2.07
-14% / -4% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -1% / -55%
43% Ball Possession 57%
8 Total Shots 16
3 Shots on Target 8
4 Corners 6
303 · 76% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 412 · 82%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
Yellow Cards
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Yoogali
0W-0D-2L
AWAY Gungahlin
0.00 Avg Goals (FT) 6.50
23.06.2024 Gungahlin Gungahlin 9-0 Yoogali AVTCT
05.05.2024 Gungahlin Gungahlin 4-0 Yoogali AVTCT
POST-MATCH Yoogali vs Gungahlin
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Yoogali squeezed past Gungahlin 2-1.

By our pre-match numbers this was an upset: we had Gungahlin at 60% and the game still went the other way. Single results are noisy — probabilities earn their keep across thousands of matches, not one. The goals side of the card held up too — over 2.5 goals (57%) came in.

Coming into the game, across their last 2 meetings in our records, Gungahlin led the recent series with 2 wins. Those games averaged 0.00 goals for Yoogali and 6.50 for Gungahlin.

What was the final score of Yoogali vs Gungahlin?

Yoogali 2-1 Gungahlin in the Australia - National Premier League on 17/08/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Yoogali vs Gungahlin?

Before kick-off our model rated an Gungahlin win the most likely single outcome at about 60%, with the full match-result split Yoogali 21%, draw 19%, Gungahlin 60%. The final score 2-1 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Over 2.5 — while Match Result (Gungahlin) went the other way.

✗ Match Result (Gungahlin) ✓ Over 2.5
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