Launceston United 3-1 Clarence Zebras — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Australia - National Premier League, 17 Aug 2024

📅17/08/2024 · 🕒07:15 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 2-2 2nd Score 2-1
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
22%
4.65
Draw
23%
5.15
Away
55%
1.42
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
32%
3.17
Over 2.5
68%
1.33
Both Teams to Score
Yes
53%
1.46
No
47%
2.51
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
18%
2-3 Goals
33%
4-5 Goals
36%
6+ Goals
13%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
9%
1/2
8%
1/X
8%
X/1
6%
X/2
13%
X/X
8%
2/1
6%
2/2
34%
2/X
8%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
22%
Home Win
18%
+4.1pp
23%
Draw
16%
+6.9pp
55%
Away Win
66%
-10.9pp
32%
Under 2.5
28%
+4.0pp
68%
Over 2.5
72%
-4.0pp
53%
BTTS Yes
64%
-11.5pp
47%
BTTS No
36%
+11.5pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Launceston United EU Bookmakers 22%
Head to Head
AWAY Clarence Zebras EU Bookmakers 70%
+16% / +16% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +32% / +32%
1.00/1.00 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.00/0.00
-20% / +105% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -55% /
47% Ball Possession 53%
8 Total Shots 15
4 Shots on Target 8
4 Corners 6
349 · 77% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 332 · 78%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
2.0 Yellow Cards 3.0
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Launceston United
0W-0D-4L
AWAY Clarence Zebras
1.00 Avg Goals (FT) 4.25
43% Ball Possession 57%
5 Total Shots 22
2 Shots on Target 11
4 Corners 4
2 Yellow Cards 4
22.06.2024 Launceston United Launceston United 1-3 Clarence Zebras Clarence Zebras AVNPL
13.04.2024 Clarence Zebras Clarence Zebras 6-1 Launceston United Launceston United AVNPL
19.08.2023 Launceston United Launceston United 1-2 Clarence Zebras Clarence Zebras AVNPL
15.04.2023 Clarence Zebras Clarence Zebras 6-1 Launceston United Launceston United AVNPL
POST-MATCH Launceston United vs Clarence Zebras
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Launceston United got the better of Clarence Zebras 3-1.

This one beat our numbers. Clarence Zebras carried 55% before kick-off and it didn't land — a reminder that even strong leads lose regularly. We had also flagged over 2.5 goals (68%), and that read landed as well.

For context: across their last 4 meetings in our records, Clarence Zebras led the recent series with 4 wins. Those games averaged 1.00 goals for Launceston United and 4.25 for Clarence Zebras.

What was the final score of Launceston United vs Clarence Zebras?

Launceston United 3-1 Clarence Zebras in the Australia - National Premier League on 17/08/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Launceston United vs Clarence Zebras?

Before kick-off our model rated an Clarence Zebras win the most likely single outcome at about 55%, with the full match-result split Launceston United 22%, draw 23%, Clarence Zebras 55%. The final score 3-1 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Over 2.5, BTTS Yes — while Match Result (Clarence Zebras) went the other way.

✗ Match Result (Clarence Zebras) ✓ Over 2.5 ✓ BTTS Yes
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