Launceston United 1-3 Clarence Zebras — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Australia - National Premier League, 22 Jun 2024

📅22/06/2024 · 🕒09:30 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 0-3 2nd Score 0-4
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
17%
5.91
Draw
18%
5.28
Away
65%
1.33
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
46%
Over 2.5
54%
Both Teams to Score
Yes
42%
1.46
No
58%
2.53
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
20%
2-3 Goals
47%
4-5 Goals
22%
6+ Goals
11%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
4%
1/2
9%
1/X
6%
X/1
7%
X/2
26%
X/X
6%
2/1
6%
2/2
30%
2/X
6%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
17%
Home Win
14%
+3.5pp
18%
Draw
16%
+2.2pp
65%
Away Win
70%
-5.8pp
42%
BTTS Yes
64%
-23.0pp
58%
BTTS No
36%
+23.0pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Launceston United EU Bookmakers 17%
Head to Head
AWAY Clarence Zebras EU Bookmakers 75%
+16% / +16% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations -18% / -18%
1.00/1.00 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 3.71/1.48
-4% / +117% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +45% / -37%
41% Ball Possession 59%
10 Total Shots 19
4 Shots on Target 8
3 Corners 6
253 · 69% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 406 · 80%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
2.0 Yellow Cards 2.1
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Launceston United
0W-0D-3L
AWAY Clarence Zebras
1.00 Avg Goals (FT) 4.67
43% Ball Possession 57%
5 Total Shots 22
2 Shots on Target 11
4 Corners 4
2 Yellow Cards 4
13.04.2024 Clarence Zebras Clarence Zebras 6-1 Launceston United Launceston United AVNPL
19.08.2023 Launceston United Launceston United 1-2 Clarence Zebras Clarence Zebras AVNPL
15.04.2023 Clarence Zebras Clarence Zebras 6-1 Launceston United Launceston United AVNPL
POST-MATCH Launceston United vs Clarence Zebras
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Clarence Zebras beat Launceston United 3-1 away from home.

As we highlighted before kick-off, our model had Clarence Zebras as the likeliest winner at 65%, and the 3-1 landed on that lead. The goals read — no to both teams scoring (58%) — went the other way, though.

For context: across their last 3 meetings in our records, Clarence Zebras led the recent series with 3 wins. Those games averaged 1.00 goals for Launceston United and 4.67 for Clarence Zebras.

What was the final score of Launceston United vs Clarence Zebras?

Launceston United 1-3 Clarence Zebras in the Australia - National Premier League on 22/06/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Launceston United vs Clarence Zebras?

Before kick-off our model rated an Clarence Zebras win the most likely single outcome at about 65%, with the full match-result split Launceston United 17%, draw 18%, Clarence Zebras 65%. The final score 1-3 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Clarence Zebras), Over 2.5 — while BTTS No went the other way.

✓ Match Result (Clarence Zebras) ✓ Over 2.5 ✗ BTTS No
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