Avondale Heights 2-1 Green Gully — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Australia - National Premier League, 23 Aug 2025

📅23/08/2025 · 🕒08:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 3-0 2nd Score 4-0
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
70%
1.37
Draw
15%
4.62
Away
15%
6.38
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
36%
2.29
Over 2.5
64%
1.56
Both Teams to Score
Yes
43%
1.81
No
57%
1.9
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
21%
2-3 Goals
43%
4-5 Goals
25%
6+ Goals
11%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
41%
1/2
4%
1/X
5%
X/1
19%
X/2
4%
X/X
6%
2/1
10%
2/2
7%
2/X
4%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
69%
Home Win
69%
+0.8pp
15%
Draw
19%
-3.4pp
15%
Away Win
13%
+2.5pp
36%
Under 2.5
40%
-3.4pp
64%
Over 2.5
60%
+3.4pp
43%
BTTS Yes
51%
-8.3pp
57%
BTTS No
49%
+8.3pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Avondale Heights EU Bookmakers 73%
Head to Head
AWAY Green Gully EU Bookmakers 16%
-4% / +1% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations -11% / -11%
2.82/0.94 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 0.80/2.59
+5% / +15% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -25% / +2%
54% Ball Possession 46%
20 Total Shots 9
8 Shots on Target 3
8 Corners 3
380 · 82% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 335 · 78%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
22.5 Crosses 23.0
2.0 Yellow Cards 3.0
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Avondale Heights
3W-1D-2L
AWAY Green Gully
2.67 Avg Goals (FT) 1.67
56% Ball Possession 44%
13 Total Shots 8
6 Shots on Target 4
4 Corners 3
387 Passes 223
76% Pass Accuracy 67%
15 Crosses 17
3 Yellow Cards 2
09.05.2025 Green Gully Green Gully 5-2 HT 3-1 Avondale Heights Avondale Heights AVNPL
27.07.2024 Green Gully Green Gully 1-6 HT 0-2 Avondale Heights Avondale Heights AVNPL
27.04.2024 Avondale Heights Avondale Heights 0-1 HT 0-0 Green Gully Green Gully AVNPL
23.06.2023 Green Gully Green Gully 0-4 HT 0-3 Avondale Heights Avondale Heights AVNPL
25.03.2023 Avondale Heights Avondale Heights 3-2 HT 1-0 Green Gully Green Gully AVNPL
17.06.2022 Green Gully Green Gully 1-1 HT 1-0 Avondale Heights Avondale Heights AVNPL
POST-MATCH Avondale Heights vs Green Gully
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Avondale Heights squeezed past Green Gully 2-1. The game was level at 1-1 at the break, so the decisive goals came after it.

Just as the model leaned, our model had Avondale Heights as the likeliest winner at 69%, and the 2-1 landed on that lead. On goals, over 2.5 goals (64%) landed while no to both teams scoring (57%) missed.

Coming into the game, across their last 6 meetings in our records, Avondale Heights had the better of it with 3 wins, 1 drawn. Those games averaged 2.67 goals for Avondale Heights and 1.67 for Green Gully.

What was the final score of Avondale Heights vs Green Gully?

Avondale Heights 2-1 Green Gully in the Australia - National Premier League on 23/08/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Avondale Heights vs Green Gully?

Before kick-off our model rated a Avondale Heights win the most likely single outcome at about 69%, with the full match-result split Avondale Heights 69%, draw 15%, Green Gully 15%. The final score 2-1 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Avondale Heights), Over 2.5 — while BTTS No went the other way.

✓ Match Result (Avondale Heights) ✓ Over 2.5 ✗ BTTS No
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