Avondale Heights 0-1 Green Gully — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Australia - National Premier League, 27 Apr 2024

Avondale Heights
0-1 HT 0-0
Green Gully
📅27/04/2024 · 🕒08:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 3-1 ✗ 2nd Score 2-1 ✗
Australia - National Premier League – 2024

Avondale Heights vs Green Gully Prediction — Model Probabilities

MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
61%
1.33
Draw
19%
4.81
Away
20%
6.69
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
38%
2.51
Over 2.5
62%
1.48
Both Teams to Score
Yes
55%
1.75
No
45%
1.96
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
22%
2-3 Goals
32%
4-5 Goals
30%
6+ Goals
16%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
27%
1/2
6%
1/X
4%
X/1
24%
X/2
6%
X/X
9%
2/1
10%
2/2
8%
2/X
6%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
61%
Home Win
71%
-9.8pp
20%
Draw
18%
+2.0pp
20%
Away Win
12%
+7.8pp
38%
Under 2.5
36%
+2.1pp
62%
Over 2.5
64%
-2.1pp
55%
BTTS Yes
53%
+1.9pp
45%
BTTS No
47%
-1.9pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.

Avondale Heights v Green Gully — Team-Based Signals

PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Avondale Heights EU Bookmakers 75%
Head to Head
AWAY Green Gully EU Bookmakers 15%
+1% / +13% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations -24% / -24%
3.00/0.89 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 0.60/2.61
+17% / +20% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -44% / -2%
57% Ball Possession 43%
17 Total Shots 9
7 Shots on Target 4
7 Corners 4
376 · 80% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 218 · 70%
– Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area –
22.5 Crosses 23.0
2.0 Yellow Cards 3.0

Avondale Heights vs Green Gully Head-to-Head — Last 5 Meetings

H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Avondale Heights
3W-1D-1L
AWAY Green Gully
1.80 Avg Goals (FT) 1.00
55% Ball Possession 45%
13 Total Shots 9
6 Shots on Target 3
4 Corners 3
342 Passes 280
78% Pass Accuracy 74%
11 Crosses 20
3 Yellow Cards 3
The Meetings
23.06.2023 Green Gully Green Gully 0-4 HT 0-3 Avondale Heights Avondale Heights AVNPL
25.03.2023 Avondale Heights Avondale Heights 3-2 HT 1-0 Green Gully Green Gully AVNPL
17.06.2022 Green Gully Green Gully 1-1 HT 1-0 Avondale Heights Avondale Heights AVNPL
19.03.2022 Avondale Heights Avondale Heights 1-0 HT 1-0 Green Gully Green Gully AVNPL
13.03.2021 Avondale Heights Avondale Heights 0-2 HT 0-2 Green Gully Green Gully AVNPL
POST-MATCH Avondale Heights vs Green Gully
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Green Gully nicked a narrow win over Avondale Heights 1-0 away from home. The game was level at 0-0 at the break, so the decisive goals came after it.

This one beat our numbers. Avondale Heights carried 61% before kick-off and it didn't land — a reminder that even strong leads lose regularly. The goals read — over 2.5 goals (62%), both teams to score (55%) — went the other way, though.

For context: across their last 5 meetings in our records, Avondale Heights had the better of it with 3 wins, 1 drawn. Those games averaged 1.80 goals for Avondale Heights and 1.00 for Green Gully.

What was the final score of Avondale Heights vs Green Gully?

Avondale Heights 0-1 Green Gully in the Australia - National Premier League on 27/04/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Avondale Heights vs Green Gully?

Before kick-off our model rated a Avondale Heights win the most likely single outcome at about 61%, with the full match-result split Avondale Heights 61%, draw 20%, Green Gully 20%. The final score 0-1 went against our main leads this time — single matches are noisy by nature; our accuracy is measured across thousands of predictions, not one result.

✗ Match Result (Avondale Heights) ✗ Over 2.5 ✗ BTTS Yes
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