Dandenong Thunder 3-0 St. Albans Saints — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Australia - National Premier League, 27 Apr 2024

📅27/04/2024 · 🕒08:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-1 2nd Score 2-1
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
41%
1.82
Draw
28%
3.72
Away
31%
3.44
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
48%
2.38
Over 2.5
52%
1.52
Both Teams to Score
Yes
55%
1.5
No
45%
2.4
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
25%
2-3 Goals
41%
4-5 Goals
23%
6+ Goals
11%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
21%
1/2
7%
1/X
9%
X/1
11%
X/2
13%
X/X
11%
2/1
9%
2/2
11%
2/X
8%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
41%
Home Win
51%
-9.7pp
28%
Draw
24%
+4.6pp
31%
Away Win
26%
+5.2pp
48%
Under 2.5
38%
+10.0pp
52%
Over 2.5
62%
-10.1pp
55%
BTTS Yes
62%
-7.7pp
45%
BTTS No
38%
+7.7pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Dandenong Thunder EU Bookmakers 55%
Head to Head
AWAY St. Albans Saints EU Bookmakers 29%
+4% / +4% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +7% / +7%
1.37/0.31 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 3.34/0.99
+4% / -12% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -26% / +47%
48% Ball Possession 52%
14 Total Shots 11
6 Shots on Target 5
6 Corners 4
323 · 76% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 283 · 73%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
24.8 Crosses 10.3
1.6 Yellow Cards 2.2
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Dandenong Thunder
5W-1D-0L
AWAY St. Albans Saints
2.17 Avg Goals (FT) 0.83
1.37 xG 0.31
60% Ball Possession 40%
15 Total Shots 9
6 Shots on Target 3
8 Corners 2
335 Passes 164
76% Pass Accuracy 59%
22 Crosses 8
4 Yellow Cards 4
27.05.2023 St. Albans Saints St. Albans Saints 0-4 HT 0-3 Dandenong Thunder Dandenong Thunder AVNPL
25.02.2023 Dandenong Thunder Dandenong Thunder 4-4 HT 0-2 St. Albans Saints St. Albans Saints AVNPL
30.07.2022 Dandenong Thunder Dandenong Thunder 1-0 HT 1-0 St. Albans Saints St. Albans Saints AVNPL
01.05.2022 St. Albans Saints St. Albans Saints 1-2 HT 0-1 Dandenong Thunder Dandenong Thunder AVNPL
11.07.2021 St. Albans Saints St. Albans Saints 0-1 HT 0-1 Dandenong Thunder Dandenong Thunder AVNPL
10.04.2021 Dandenong Thunder Dandenong Thunder 1-0 HT 0-0 St. Albans Saints St. Albans Saints AVNPL
POST-MATCH Dandenong Thunder vs St. Albans Saints
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Dandenong Thunder cruised past St. Albans Saints 3-0. Half-time: 2-0.

Just as the model leaned, our model had Dandenong Thunder as the likeliest winner at 41%, and the 3-0 landed on that lead. The goals read — both teams to score (55%) — went the other way, though.

For context: across their last 6 meetings in our records, Dandenong Thunder had the better of it with 5 wins, 1 drawn. Those games averaged 2.17 goals for Dandenong Thunder and 0.83 for St. Albans Saints.

What was the final score of Dandenong Thunder vs St. Albans Saints?

Dandenong Thunder 3-0 St. Albans Saints in the Australia - National Premier League on 27/04/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Dandenong Thunder vs St. Albans Saints?

Before kick-off our model rated a Dandenong Thunder win the most likely single outcome at about 41%, with the full match-result split Dandenong Thunder 41%, draw 28%, St. Albans Saints 31%. The final score 3-0 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Dandenong Thunder), Over 2.5 — while BTTS Yes went the other way.

✓ Match Result (Dandenong Thunder) ✓ Over 2.5 ✗ BTTS Yes
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