Lambton Jaffas 3-2 Valentine Phoenix — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Australia - National Premier League, 27 Apr 2024

📅27/04/2024 · 🕒07:30 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 2-1 2nd Score 3-0
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
51%
1.49
Draw
26%
3.94
Away
23%
5.64
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
48%
2.33
Over 2.5
52%
1.54
Both Teams to Score
Yes
49%
1.68
No
51%
2.06
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
24%
2-3 Goals
47%
4-5 Goals
21%
6+ Goals
8%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
33%
1/2
5%
1/X
11%
X/1
11%
X/2
5%
X/X
6%
2/1
8%
2/2
13%
2/X
8%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
51%
Home Win
63%
-11.8pp
26%
Draw
22%
+3.6pp
23%
Away Win
15%
+8.2pp
48%
Under 2.5
39%
+8.8pp
52%
Over 2.5
61%
-8.8pp
49%
BTTS Yes
56%
-6.7pp
51%
BTTS No
44%
+6.7pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Lambton Jaffas EU Bookmakers 67%
Head to Head
AWAY Valentine Phoenix EU Bookmakers 18%
-5% / -2% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +7% / +7%
1.85/1.11 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 0.68/1.67
-17% / +7% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -44% / +30%
58% Ball Possession 42%
14 Total Shots 9
6 Shots on Target 3
6 Corners 4
412 · 80% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 235 · 71%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
2.1 Yellow Cards 1.7
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Lambton Jaffas
3W-1D-2L
AWAY Valentine Phoenix
1.17 Avg Goals (FT) 1.00
56% Ball Possession 44%
14 Total Shots 11
6 Shots on Target 4
6 Corners 4
2 Yellow Cards 1
15.07.2023 Valentine Phoenix Valentine Phoenix 1-2 HT 1-0 Lambton Jaffas Lambton Jaffas AVNSW
22.04.2023 Lambton Jaffas Lambton Jaffas 2-1 HT 1-1 Valentine Phoenix Valentine Phoenix AVNPL
27.07.2022 Valentine Phoenix Valentine Phoenix 1-0 HT 0-0 Lambton Jaffas Lambton Jaffas AVNPL
17.07.2022 Lambton Jaffas Lambton Jaffas 1-2 HT 0-1 Valentine Phoenix Valentine Phoenix AVNPL
27.06.2021 Valentine Phoenix Valentine Phoenix 1-1 HT 0-0 Lambton Jaffas Lambton Jaffas AVNPL
11.04.2021 Lambton Jaffas Lambton Jaffas 1-0 HT 0-0 Valentine Phoenix Valentine Phoenix AVNPL
POST-MATCH Lambton Jaffas vs Valentine Phoenix
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Lambton Jaffas edged past Valentine Phoenix 3-2. Half-time: 3-1. 5 goals made it one of the day's more open games.

As our pre-match numbers suggested, our model had Lambton Jaffas as the likeliest winner at 51%, and the 3-2 landed on that lead.

Over 2.5 goals sat near a coin-flip at 52% and both teams to score was close to even at 49%.

Coming into the game, across their last 6 meetings in our records, Lambton Jaffas had the better of it with 3 wins, 1 drawn. Those games averaged 1.17 goals for Lambton Jaffas and 1.00 for Valentine Phoenix.

What was the final score of Lambton Jaffas vs Valentine Phoenix?

Lambton Jaffas 3-2 Valentine Phoenix in the Australia - National Premier League on 27/04/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Lambton Jaffas vs Valentine Phoenix?

Before kick-off our model rated a Lambton Jaffas win the most likely single outcome at about 51%, with the full match-result split Lambton Jaffas 51%, draw 26%, Valentine Phoenix 23%. The final score 3-2 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Lambton Jaffas), Over 2.5 — while BTTS No went the other way.

✓ Match Result (Lambton Jaffas) ✓ Over 2.5 ✗ BTTS No
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