Moreland City 2-3 Altona Magic — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Australia - National Premier League, 27 Apr 2024

📅27/04/2024 · 🕒08:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 0-1 2nd Score 1-1
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
33%
2.67
Draw
21%
3.72
Away
46%
2.11
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
50%
2.21
Over 2.5
50%
1.6
Both Teams to Score
Yes
51%
1.55
No
49%
2.29
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
28%
2-3 Goals
40%
4-5 Goals
21%
6+ Goals
11%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
21%
1/2
8%
1/X
7%
X/1
8%
X/2
18%
X/X
10%
2/1
4%
2/2
20%
2/X
4%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
💡 For the risk lovers: Away Win ★★ — pattern-based signals at fair odds; informational, not a sized bet.
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
33%
Home Win
34%
-0.5pp
21%
Draw
23%
-2.5pp
46%
Away Win
43%
+3.1pp
50%
Under 2.5
41%
+8.2pp
50%
Over 2.5
59%
-8.2pp
51%
BTTS Yes
60%
-9.9pp
49%
BTTS No
40%
+9.9pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Moreland City EU Bookmakers 37%
Head to Head
AWAY Altona Magic EU Bookmakers 48%
-26% / -26% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +3% / +3%
1.18/2.83 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 2.72/1.11
-25% / -41% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +47% / +28%
44% Ball Possession 56%
11 Total Shots 14
4 Shots on Target 5
3 Corners 6
322 · 79% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 350 · 79%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses 19.0
2.4 Yellow Cards 1.8
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Moreland City
0W-1D-1L
AWAY Altona Magic
1.00 Avg Goals (FT) 2.00
46% Ball Possession 54%
10 Total Shots 12
5 Shots on Target 4
7 Corners 4
2 Yellow Cards 3
10.06.2023 Altona Magic Altona Magic 3-1 HT 2-1 Moreland City Moreland City AVNPL
11.03.2023 Moreland City Moreland City 1-1 HT 0-0 Altona Magic Altona Magic AVNPL
POST-MATCH Moreland City vs Altona Magic
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Altona Magic edged past Moreland City 3-2 away from home. The game was level at 1-1 at the break, so the decisive goals came after it. 5 goals made it one of the day's more open games.

As we highlighted before kick-off, our model had Altona Magic as the likeliest winner at 46%, and the 3-2 landed on that lead.

Over 2.5 goals sat near a coin-flip at 50% and both teams to score was close to even at 51%.

Coming into the game, across their last 2 meetings in our records, Altona Magic led the recent series with 1 wins, 1 drawn. Those games averaged 1.00 goals for Moreland City and 2.00 for Altona Magic.

What was the final score of Moreland City vs Altona Magic?

Moreland City 2-3 Altona Magic in the Australia - National Premier League on 27/04/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Moreland City vs Altona Magic?

Before kick-off our model rated an Altona Magic win the most likely single outcome at about 46%, with the full match-result split Moreland City 33%, draw 21%, Altona Magic 46%. The final score 2-3 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Altona Magic), BTTS Yes — a clean sweep of the main markets.

✓ Match Result (Altona Magic) ✓ BTTS Yes
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