Oakleigh Cannons 3-0 South Melbourne — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Australia - National Premier League, 23 Aug 2025

📅23/08/2025 · 🕒08:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 3-1 2nd Score 2-2
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
57%
1.57
Draw
20%
4.08
Away
23%
4.31
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
39%
Over 2.5
61%
Both Teams to Score
Yes
58%
1.56
No
42%
2.27
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
19%
2-3 Goals
35%
4-5 Goals
29%
6+ Goals
17%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
35%
1/2
5%
1/X
4%
X/1
14%
X/2
7%
X/X
6%
2/1
8%
2/2
11%
2/X
10%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
57%
Home Win
59%
-2.6pp
20%
Draw
21%
-0.9pp
23%
Away Win
20%
+3.4pp
58%
BTTS Yes
60%
-1.7pp
42%
BTTS No
40%
+1.7pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Oakleigh Cannons EU Bookmakers 64%
Head to Head
AWAY South Melbourne EU Bookmakers 23%
+7% / +6% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +12% / +12%
1.31/1.76 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.26/0.66
+19% / +42% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -46% / +77%
53% Ball Possession 47%
16 Total Shots 10
7 Shots on Target 4
8 Corners 4
292 · 75% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 281 · 74%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
29.2 Crosses 22.0
2.2 Yellow Cards 2.0
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Oakleigh Cannons
4W-1D-1L
AWAY South Melbourne
1.33 Avg Goals (FT) 0.67
58% Ball Possession 42%
18 Total Shots 11
6 Shots on Target 2
9 Corners 5
2 Yellow Cards 3
11.05.2025 South Melbourne South Melbourne 1-2 HT 0-1 Oakleigh Cannons Oakleigh Cannons AVNPL
07.09.2024 South Melbourne South Melbourne 0-1 HT 0-0 Oakleigh Cannons Oakleigh Cannons AVNPL
30.06.2024 South Melbourne South Melbourne 1-2 HT 0-1 Oakleigh Cannons Oakleigh Cannons AVNPL
22.03.2024 Oakleigh Cannons Oakleigh Cannons 0-0 HT 0-0 South Melbourne South Melbourne AVNPL
01.09.2023 South Melbourne South Melbourne 2-1 HT 1-0 Oakleigh Cannons Oakleigh Cannons AVNPL
02.07.2023 South Melbourne South Melbourne 0-2 HT 0-1 Oakleigh Cannons Oakleigh Cannons AVNPL
POST-MATCH Oakleigh Cannons vs South Melbourne
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Oakleigh Cannons cruised past South Melbourne 3-0. Half-time: 1-0.

As our pre-match numbers suggested, our model had Oakleigh Cannons as the likeliest winner at 57%, and the 3-0 landed on that lead. On goals, over 2.5 goals (61%) landed while both teams to score (58%) missed.

Coming into the game, across their last 6 meetings in our records, Oakleigh Cannons had the better of it with 4 wins, 1 drawn. Those games averaged 1.33 goals for Oakleigh Cannons and 0.67 for South Melbourne.

What was the final score of Oakleigh Cannons vs South Melbourne?

Oakleigh Cannons 3-0 South Melbourne in the Australia - National Premier League on 23/08/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Oakleigh Cannons vs South Melbourne?

Before kick-off our model rated a Oakleigh Cannons win the most likely single outcome at about 57%, with the full match-result split Oakleigh Cannons 57%, draw 20%, South Melbourne 23%. The final score 3-0 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Oakleigh Cannons), Over 2.5 — while BTTS Yes went the other way.

✓ Match Result (Oakleigh Cannons) ✓ Over 2.5 ✗ BTTS Yes
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