South Melbourne 0-1 Oakleigh Cannons — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Australia - National Premier League, 7 Sep 2024

📅07/09/2024 · 🕒11:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 2-2 2nd Score 0-0
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
34%
2.94
Draw
33%
3.35
Away
33%
2.11
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
50%
1.9
Over 2.5
50%
1.82
Both Teams to Score
Yes
50%
1.73
No
50%
1.99
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
33%
Home Win
30%
+3.0pp
33%
Draw
26%
+7.0pp
33%
Away Win
43%
-10.1pp
50%
Under 2.5
49%
+1.2pp
50%
Over 2.5
51%
-1.2pp
50%
BTTS Yes
54%
-3.8pp
50%
BTTS No
46%
+3.8pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME South Melbourne EU Bookmakers 34%
Head to Head
AWAY Oakleigh Cannons EU Bookmakers 48%
+7% / +7% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations -10% / -13%
1.35/1.27 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 0.75/2.58
-18% / +17% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -6% / -8%
50% Ball Possession 50%
0 Total Shots 0
0 Shots on Target 0
0 Corners 0
0 · 0% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 0 · 0%
16.0 Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
16.4 Crosses 21.0
2.9 Yellow Cards 2.0
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME South Melbourne
2W-1D-3L
AWAY Oakleigh Cannons
0.67 Avg Goals (FT) 1.67
0.48 xG 2.36
42% Ball Possession 58%
10 Total Shots 16
2 Shots on Target 6
5 Corners 9
140 Passes 165
56% Pass Accuracy 57%
10 Box Touches 23
28 Crosses 26
3 Yellow Cards 2
30.06.2024 South Melbourne South Melbourne 1-2 HT 0-1 Oakleigh Cannons Oakleigh Cannons AVNPL
22.03.2024 Oakleigh Cannons Oakleigh Cannons 0-0 HT 0-0 South Melbourne South Melbourne AVNPL
01.09.2023 South Melbourne South Melbourne 2-1 HT 1-0 Oakleigh Cannons Oakleigh Cannons AVNPL
02.07.2023 South Melbourne South Melbourne 0-2 HT 0-1 Oakleigh Cannons Oakleigh Cannons AVNPL
01.04.2023 Oakleigh Cannons Oakleigh Cannons 0-1 HT 0-0 South Melbourne South Melbourne AVNPL
11.09.2022 South Melbourne South Melbourne 0-5 HT 0-1 Oakleigh Cannons Oakleigh Cannons AVNPL
POST-MATCH South Melbourne vs Oakleigh Cannons
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Oakleigh Cannons squeezed past South Melbourne 1-0 away from home. The game was level at 0-0 at the break, so the decisive goals came after it.

We called this one close before kick-off — 33% / 33% / 33% — and on the day Oakleigh Cannons made the difference.

Over 2.5 goals sat near a coin-flip at 50% and both teams to score was close to even at 50%.

For context: across their last 6 meetings in our records, Oakleigh Cannons led the recent series with 3 wins, 1 drawn. Those games averaged 0.67 goals for South Melbourne and 1.67 for Oakleigh Cannons.

What was the final score of South Melbourne vs Oakleigh Cannons?

South Melbourne 0-1 Oakleigh Cannons in the Australia - National Premier League on 07/09/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for South Melbourne vs Oakleigh Cannons?

Before kick-off our model rated a South Melbourne win the most likely single outcome at about 33%, with the full match-result split South Melbourne 33%, draw 33%, Oakleigh Cannons 33%. The final score 0-1 went against our main leads this time — single matches are noisy by nature; our accuracy is measured across thousands of predictions, not one result.

◐ Match Result — model had it level (33/33/33)
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