South Melbourne 1-2 Oakleigh Cannons — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Australia - National Premier League, 30 Jun 2024

South Melbourne
1-2 HT 0-1
Oakleigh Cannons
📅30/06/2024 · 🕒09:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 2-2 ✗ 2nd Score 2-1 ✗
Australia - National Premier League – 2024

South Melbourne vs Oakleigh Cannons Prediction — Model Probabilities

MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
38%
2.18
Draw
26%
3.45
Away
36%
2.79
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
42%
2.03
Over 2.5
58%
1.71
Both Teams to Score
Yes
57%
1.61
No
43%
2.16
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
23%
2-3 Goals
36%
4-5 Goals
29%
6+ Goals
12%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
16%
1/2
6%
1/X
6%
X/1
11%
X/2
14%
X/X
12%
2/1
11%
2/2
16%
2/X
8%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
38%
Home Win
42%
-4.0pp
26%
Draw
26%
+0.1pp
36%
Away Win
32%
+3.9pp
42%
Under 2.5
45%
-3.5pp
58%
Over 2.5
55%
+3.5pp
57%
BTTS Yes
58%
-1.0pp
43%
BTTS No
42%
+1.0pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.

South Melbourne v Oakleigh Cannons — Team-Based Signals

PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME South Melbourne EU Bookmakers 46%
Head to Head
AWAY Oakleigh Cannons EU Bookmakers 36%
+7% / +3% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +22% / +25%
1.01/1.64 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.57/1.15
-7% / -2% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +63% / +65%
50% Ball Possession 50%
14 Total Shots 14
5 Shots on Target 6
6 Corners 5
273 · 72% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 303 · 73%
16.0 Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area 21.5
17.2 Crosses 23.9
2.7 Yellow Cards 2.6

South Melbourne vs Oakleigh Cannons Head-to-Head — Last 6 Meetings

H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME South Melbourne
3W-1D-2L
AWAY Oakleigh Cannons
0.67 Avg Goals (FT) 1.33
1.12 xG 1.62
40% Ball Possession 60%
11 Total Shots 16
3 Shots on Target 6
4 Corners 8
124 Passes 240
52% Pass Accuracy 64%
10 Box Touches 23
18 Crosses 30
2 Yellow Cards 2
The Meetings
22.03.2024 Oakleigh Cannons Oakleigh Cannons 0-0 HT 0-0 South Melbourne South Melbourne AVNPL
01.09.2023 South Melbourne South Melbourne 2-1 HT 1-0 Oakleigh Cannons Oakleigh Cannons AVNPL
02.07.2023 South Melbourne South Melbourne 0-2 HT 0-1 Oakleigh Cannons Oakleigh Cannons AVNPL
01.04.2023 Oakleigh Cannons Oakleigh Cannons 0-1 HT 0-0 South Melbourne South Melbourne AVNPL
11.09.2022 South Melbourne South Melbourne 0-5 HT 0-1 Oakleigh Cannons Oakleigh Cannons AVNPL
16.07.2022 South Melbourne South Melbourne 1-0 HT 0-0 Oakleigh Cannons Oakleigh Cannons AVNPL
POST-MATCH South Melbourne vs Oakleigh Cannons
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Oakleigh Cannons squeezed past South Melbourne 2-1 away from home. Half-time: 0-1.

Our pre-match split (38% / 26% / 36%) promised a tight game; Oakleigh Cannons found the edge the numbers couldn't. We had also flagged over 2.5 goals (58%), both teams to score (57%), and both reads landed as well.

Coming into the game, across their last 6 meetings in our records, South Melbourne had the better of it with 3 wins, 1 drawn. Those games averaged 0.67 goals for South Melbourne and 1.33 for Oakleigh Cannons.

What was the final score of South Melbourne vs Oakleigh Cannons?

South Melbourne 1-2 Oakleigh Cannons in the Australia - National Premier League on 30/06/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for South Melbourne vs Oakleigh Cannons?

Before kick-off our model rated a South Melbourne win the most likely single outcome at about 38%, with the full match-result split South Melbourne 38%, draw 26%, Oakleigh Cannons 36%. The final score 1-2 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Over 2.5, BTTS Yes — while Match Result (South Melbourne) went the other way.

✗ Match Result (South Melbourne) ✓ Over 2.5 ✓ BTTS Yes
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