Gungahlin 4-2 O Connor Knights — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Australia - National Premier League, 30 Jun 2024

📅30/06/2024 · 🕒08:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 0-1 2nd Score 1-0
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
30%
2.33
Draw
24%
3.72
Away
46%
2.39
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
50%
2.63
Over 2.5
50%
1.44
Both Teams to Score
Yes
48%
1.38
No
52%
2.81
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
25%
2-3 Goals
42%
4-5 Goals
18%
6+ Goals
15%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
9%
1/2
9%
1/X
7%
X/1
12%
X/2
14%
X/X
10%
2/1
9%
2/2
23%
2/X
7%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
30%
Home Win
39%
-8.6pp
24%
Draw
23%
+1.0pp
45%
Away Win
38%
+7.6pp
50%
Under 2.5
34%
+15.3pp
50%
Over 2.5
66%
-15.3pp
48%
BTTS Yes
68%
-20.8pp
52%
BTTS No
32%
+20.8pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Gungahlin EU Bookmakers 43%
Head to Head
AWAY O Connor Knights EU Bookmakers 42%
-17% / -17% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +28% / +28%
1.46/1.81 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.63/0.76
-15% / -13% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -9% / +93%
50% Ball Possession 50%
12 Total Shots 15
6 Shots on Target 5
6 Corners 6
335 · 78% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 340 · 78%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
2.1 Yellow Cards 1.8
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Gungahlin
2W-2D-2L
AWAY O Connor Knights
1.83 Avg Goals (FT) 1.67
52% Ball Possession 48%
11 Total Shots 13
6 Shots on Target 6
5 Corners 4
2 Yellow Cards 1
12.06.2024 Gungahlin Gungahlin 0-0 HT 0-0 O Connor Knights O Connor Knights AVNPL
09.09.2023 O Connor Knights O Connor Knights 2-1 HT 1-1 Gungahlin Gungahlin AVTCT
20.08.2023 O Connor Knights O Connor Knights 0-1 HT 0-1 Gungahlin Gungahlin AVNPL
25.06.2023 Gungahlin Gungahlin 2-4 O Connor Knights O Connor Knights AVTCT
06.05.2023 O Connor Knights O Connor Knights 3-3 Gungahlin Gungahlin AVNPL
27.08.2022 O Connor Knights O Connor Knights 1-4 Gungahlin Gungahlin AVNPL
POST-MATCH Gungahlin vs O Connor Knights
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Gungahlin saw off O Connor Knights 4-2. 6 goals made it one of the day's more open games.

Our pre-match lean was O Connor Knights at 45%, but a lead that slim is closer to a coin-flip than a call — and it fell the other way.

Over 2.5 goals sat near a coin-flip at 50% and both teams to score was close to even at 48%.

Coming into the game, across their last 6 meetings in our records, honours were even at 2 apiece, 2 drawn. Those games averaged 1.83 goals for Gungahlin and 1.67 for O Connor Knights.

What was the final score of Gungahlin vs O Connor Knights?

Gungahlin 4-2 O Connor Knights in the Australia - National Premier League on 30/06/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Gungahlin vs O Connor Knights?

Before kick-off our model rated an O Connor Knights win the most likely single outcome at about 45%, with the full match-result split Gungahlin 30%, draw 24%, O Connor Knights 45%. The final score 4-2 went against our main leads this time — single matches are noisy by nature; our accuracy is measured across thousands of predictions, not one result.

✗ Match Result (O Connor Knights) ✗ BTTS No
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