South Hobart 2-2 Devonport City — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Australia - National Premier League, 30 Jun 2024

South Hobart
2-2
Devonport City
📅30/06/2024 · 🕒07:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 2-2 ✓ 2nd Score 2-1 ✗
Australia - National Premier League – 2024

South Hobart vs Devonport City Prediction — Model Probabilities

MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
40%
2.8
Draw
25%
3.28
Away
35%
2.24
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
47%
2.15
Over 2.5
53%
1.64
Both Teams to Score
Yes
52%
1.53
No
48%
2.33
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
28%
2-3 Goals
36%
4-5 Goals
25%
6+ Goals
11%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
22%
1/2
5%
1/X
8%
X/1
11%
X/2
16%
X/X
13%
2/1
7%
2/2
14%
2/X
4%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
40%
Home Win
32%
+8.2pp
25%
Draw
27%
-2.0pp
35%
Away Win
41%
-6.1pp
47%
Under 2.5
43%
+4.5pp
53%
Over 2.5
57%
-4.5pp
52%
BTTS Yes
61%
-9.6pp
48%
BTTS No
39%
+9.6pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.

South Hobart v Devonport City — Team-Based Signals

PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME South Hobart EU Bookmakers 36%
Head to Head
AWAY Devonport City EU Bookmakers 45%
-3% / -3% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +26% / +26%
1.44/1.77 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.58/0.33
-3% / +3% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -12% / +150%
51% Ball Possession 49%
13 Total Shots 11
4 Shots on Target 4
6 Corners 4
296 · 75% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 299 · 72%
– Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area –
– Crosses –
2.7 Yellow Cards 4.0

South Hobart vs Devonport City Head-to-Head — Last 6 Meetings

H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME South Hobart
1W-1D-4L
AWAY Devonport City
1.00 Avg Goals (FT) 1.83
55% Ball Possession 45%
8 Total Shots 8
4 Shots on Target 4
10 Corners 3
3 Yellow Cards 4
The Meetings
20.04.2024 Devonport City Devonport City 1-1 South Hobart South Hobart AVNPL
26.08.2023 Devonport City Devonport City 2-0 South Hobart South Hobart AVNPL
01.07.2023 Devonport City Devonport City 1-3 South Hobart South Hobart AVNPL
22.04.2023 South Hobart South Hobart 1-2 Devonport City Devonport City AVNPL
27.08.2022 South Hobart South Hobart 0-3 Devonport City Devonport City AVNPL
02.07.2022 South Hobart South Hobart 1-2 Devonport City Devonport City AVNPL
POST-MATCH South Hobart vs Devonport City
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

South Hobart and Devonport City couldn't be separated, finishing 2-2.

Our pre-match split (40% / 25% / 35%) said coin-flip, and the draw proved it right.

Over 2.5 goals sat near a coin-flip at 53% and both teams to score was close to even at 52%.

For context: across their last 6 meetings in our records, Devonport City led the recent series with 4 wins, 1 drawn. Those games averaged 1.00 goals for South Hobart and 1.83 for Devonport City.

What was the final score of South Hobart vs Devonport City?

South Hobart 2-2 Devonport City in the Australia - National Premier League on 30/06/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for South Hobart vs Devonport City?

Before kick-off our model rated a South Hobart win the most likely single outcome at about 40%, with the full match-result split South Hobart 40%, draw 25%, Devonport City 35%. The final score 2-2 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Over 2.5, BTTS Yes — while Match Result (South Hobart) went the other way.

✗ Match Result (South Hobart) ✓ Over 2.5 ✓ BTTS Yes
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