Devonport City 1-1 South Hobart — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Australia - National Premier League, 20 Apr 2024

📅20/04/2024 · 🕒07:30 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 2-1 2nd Score 2-2
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
46%
1.92
Draw
22%
3.64
Away
32%
3.15
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
47%
2.51
Over 2.5
53%
1.48
Both Teams to Score
Yes
51%
1.46
No
49%
2.53
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
24%
2-3 Goals
40%
4-5 Goals
27%
6+ Goals
9%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
19%
1/2
5%
1/X
7%
X/1
19%
X/2
10%
X/X
11%
2/1
8%
2/2
17%
2/X
4%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
46%
Home Win
48%
-2.2pp
22%
Draw
24%
-2.0pp
32%
Away Win
28%
+4.2pp
47%
Under 2.5
36%
+10.4pp
53%
Over 2.5
64%
-10.4pp
51%
BTTS Yes
64%
-13.2pp
49%
BTTS No
36%
+13.2pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Devonport City EU Bookmakers 52%
Head to Head
AWAY South Hobart EU Bookmakers 32%
+6% / +6% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations -27% / -27%
1.51/0.44 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 0.35/1.16
-24% / +150% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -78% / +51%
53% Ball Possession 47%
14 Total Shots 11
5 Shots on Target 5
5 Corners 4
394 · 80% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 318 · 76%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
2.1 Yellow Cards 0.6
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Devonport City
5W-0D-1L
AWAY South Hobart
1.83 Avg Goals (FT) 0.83
45% Ball Possession 55%
8 Total Shots 8
4 Shots on Target 3
4 Corners 10
4 Yellow Cards 3
26.08.2023 Devonport City Devonport City 2-0 South Hobart South Hobart AVNPL
01.07.2023 Devonport City Devonport City 1-3 South Hobart South Hobart AVNPL
22.04.2023 South Hobart South Hobart 1-2 Devonport City Devonport City AVNPL
27.08.2022 South Hobart South Hobart 0-3 Devonport City Devonport City AVNPL
02.07.2022 South Hobart South Hobart 1-2 Devonport City Devonport City AVNPL
23.04.2022 Devonport City Devonport City 1-0 South Hobart South Hobart AVNPL
POST-MATCH Devonport City vs South Hobart
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Devonport City and South Hobart shared the points in a 1-1 draw.

Our pre-match lean was Devonport City at 46%, but a lead that slim is closer to a coin-flip than a call — and it fell the other way.

Over 2.5 goals sat near a coin-flip at 53% and both teams to score was close to even at 51%.

For context: across their last 6 meetings in our records, Devonport City had the better of it with 5 wins. Those games averaged 1.83 goals for Devonport City and 0.83 for South Hobart.

What was the final score of Devonport City vs South Hobart?

Devonport City 1-1 South Hobart in the Australia - National Premier League on 20/04/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Devonport City vs South Hobart?

Before kick-off our model rated a Devonport City win the most likely single outcome at about 46%, with the full match-result split Devonport City 46%, draw 22%, South Hobart 32%. The final score 1-1 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on BTTS Yes — while Match Result (Devonport City), Over 2.5 went the other way.

✗ Match Result (Devonport City) ✗ Over 2.5 ✓ BTTS Yes
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