Sutherland Sharks 1-2 Manly United — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Australia - National Premier League, 20 Apr 2024

📅20/04/2024 · 🕒09:30 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 2-2 2nd Score 1-2
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
35%
2.47
Draw
25%
3.35
Away
40%
2.47
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
47%
2.1
Over 2.5
53%
1.67
Both Teams to Score
Yes
55%
1.56
No
45%
2.27
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
23%
2-3 Goals
39%
4-5 Goals
25%
6+ Goals
13%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
18%
1/2
6%
1/X
8%
X/1
13%
X/2
14%
X/X
9%
2/1
4%
2/2
20%
2/X
8%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
35%
Home Win
37%
-1.6pp
25%
Draw
26%
-1.6pp
40%
Away Win
37%
+3.2pp
47%
Under 2.5
44%
+2.7pp
53%
Over 2.5
56%
-2.7pp
55%
BTTS Yes
60%
-5.0pp
45%
BTTS No
40%
+5.0pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Sutherland Sharks EU Bookmakers 40%
Head to Head
AWAY Manly United EU Bookmakers 40%
-2% / +5% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations -14% / -23%
0.98/1.49 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.48/1.51
-48% / +60% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -34% / -4%
49% Ball Possession 51%
12 Total Shots 13
5 Shots on Target 4
5 Corners 5
305 · 75% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 318 · 76%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
14.9 Crosses 18.9
2.1 Yellow Cards 2.3
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Sutherland Sharks
4W-0D-2L
AWAY Manly United
1.67 Avg Goals (FT) 0.50
0.92 xG 0.99
44% Ball Possession 56%
10 Total Shots 14
4 Shots on Target 4
4 Corners 7
298 Passes 400
72% Pass Accuracy 79%
13 Crosses 20
2 Yellow Cards 2
29.07.2023 Manly United Manly United 1-0 HT 0-0 Sutherland Sharks Sutherland Sharks AVNPL
15.04.2023 Sutherland Sharks Sutherland Sharks 1-0 HT 0-0 Manly United Manly United AVNPL
03.06.2022 Manly United Manly United 2-1 HT 0-1 Sutherland Sharks Sutherland Sharks AVNPL
19.03.2022 Sutherland Sharks Sutherland Sharks 2-0 HT 1-0 Manly United Manly United AVNPL
23.04.2021 Manly United Manly United 0-1 HT 0-0 Sutherland Sharks Sutherland Sharks AVNPL
30.06.2019 Manly United Manly United 0-5 HT 0-3 Sutherland Sharks Sutherland Sharks AVNPL
POST-MATCH Sutherland Sharks vs Manly United
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Manly United edged past Sutherland Sharks 2-1 away from home.

Our pre-match split (35% / 25% / 40%) promised a tight game; Manly United found the edge the numbers couldn't. We had also flagged both teams to score (55%), and that read landed as well.

For context: across their last 6 meetings in our records, Sutherland Sharks had the better of it with 4 wins. Those games averaged 1.67 goals for Sutherland Sharks and 0.50 for Manly United.

What was the final score of Sutherland Sharks vs Manly United?

Sutherland Sharks 1-2 Manly United in the Australia - National Premier League on 20/04/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Sutherland Sharks vs Manly United?

Before kick-off our model rated an Manly United win the most likely single outcome at about 40%, with the full match-result split Sutherland Sharks 35%, draw 25%, Manly United 40%. The final score 1-2 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Manly United), Over 2.5, BTTS Yes — a clean sweep of the main markets.

✓ Match Result (Manly United) ✓ Over 2.5 ✓ BTTS Yes
Want to know how this prediction was produced? Read how we price a match →
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