Green Gully 1-2 Port Melbourne — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Australia - National Premier League, 20 Apr 2024

📅20/04/2024 · 🕒06:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 2-2 2nd Score 2-1
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
37%
2.46
Draw
29%
3.45
Away
34%
2.47
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
44%
2.15
Over 2.5
56%
1.64
Both Teams to Score
Yes
58%
1.55
No
42%
2.29
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
21%
2-3 Goals
39%
4-5 Goals
25%
6+ Goals
15%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
18%
1/2
8%
1/X
8%
X/1
10%
X/2
12%
X/X
11%
2/1
8%
2/2
15%
2/X
10%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
36%
Home Win
37%
-0.7pp
29%
Draw
26%
+3.3pp
34%
Away Win
37%
-2.6pp
44%
Under 2.5
43%
+0.7pp
56%
Over 2.5
57%
-0.7pp
58%
BTTS Yes
60%
-2.8pp
42%
BTTS No
40%
+2.8pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Green Gully EU Bookmakers 41%
Head to Head
AWAY Port Melbourne EU Bookmakers 40%
-4% / -1% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +0% / +3%
2.45/1.17 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.08/0.45
+5% / +19% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +8% / -23%
51% Ball Possession 49%
14 Total Shots 12
5 Shots on Target 6
6 Corners 4
299 · 74% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 378 · 79%
21.0 Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
19.2 Crosses 17.4
2.2 Yellow Cards 3.0
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Green Gully
2W-0D-4L
AWAY Port Melbourne
1.33 Avg Goals (FT) 2.00
55% Ball Possession 45%
16 Total Shots 8
4 Shots on Target 4
6 Corners 4
346 Passes 240
79% Pass Accuracy 73%
36 Crosses 18
3 Yellow Cards 3
09.06.2023 Port Melbourne Port Melbourne 1-3 HT 1-0 Green Gully Green Gully AVNPL
10.03.2023 Green Gully Green Gully 3-2 HT 2-2 Port Melbourne Port Melbourne AVNPL
03.06.2022 Green Gully Green Gully 1-3 HT 1-1 Port Melbourne Port Melbourne AVNPL
05.03.2022 Port Melbourne Port Melbourne 2-0 HT 0-0 Green Gully Green Gully AVNPL
14.05.2021 Port Melbourne Port Melbourne 2-0 HT 1-0 Green Gully Green Gully AVNPL
23.08.2014 Green Gully Green Gully 1-2 HT 0-2 Port Melbourne Port Melbourne AVNPL
POST-MATCH Green Gully vs Port Melbourne
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Port Melbourne squeezed past Green Gully 2-1 away from home. The game was level at 1-1 at the break, so the decisive goals came after it.

We called this one close before kick-off — 36% / 29% / 34% — and on the day Port Melbourne made the difference. The goals side of the card held up too — over 2.5 goals (56%), both teams to score (58%) came in.

Coming into the game, across their last 6 meetings in our records, Port Melbourne led the recent series with 4 wins. Those games averaged 1.33 goals for Green Gully and 2.00 for Port Melbourne.

What was the final score of Green Gully vs Port Melbourne?

Green Gully 1-2 Port Melbourne in the Australia - National Premier League on 20/04/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Green Gully vs Port Melbourne?

Before kick-off our model rated a Green Gully win the most likely single outcome at about 36%, with the full match-result split Green Gully 36%, draw 29%, Port Melbourne 34%. The final score 1-2 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Over 2.5, BTTS Yes — while Match Result (Green Gully) went the other way.

✗ Match Result (Green Gully) ✓ Over 2.5 ✓ BTTS Yes
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