Launceston City 2-1 Clarence Zebras — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Australia - National Premier League, 20 Apr 2024

📅20/04/2024 · 🕒09:45 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-2 2nd Score 2-1
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
34%
2.38
Draw
23%
3.64
Away
43%
2.47
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
41%
2.51
Over 2.5
59%
1.48
Both Teams to Score
Yes
57%
1.41
No
43%
2.67
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
21%
2-3 Goals
40%
4-5 Goals
28%
6+ Goals
11%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
17%
1/2
10%
1/X
9%
X/1
9%
X/2
14%
X/X
7%
2/1
7%
2/2
19%
2/X
8%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
33%
Home Win
39%
-5.2pp
23%
Draw
24%
-1.2pp
43%
Away Win
37%
+6.2pp
41%
Under 2.5
36%
+5.1pp
59%
Over 2.5
64%
-5.1pp
57%
BTTS Yes
67%
-9.9pp
43%
BTTS No
33%
+9.9pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Launceston City EU Bookmakers 42%
Head to Head
AWAY Clarence Zebras EU Bookmakers 40%
+49% / +49% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations -51% / -51%
2.00/0.00 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.16/2.77
+17% / Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -31% / -42%
50% Ball Possession 50%
13 Total Shots 12
5 Shots on Target 5
5 Corners 5
348 · 80% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 363 · 80%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
0.0 Yellow Cards 1.0
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Launceston City
3W-1D-2L
AWAY Clarence Zebras
2.00 Avg Goals (FT) 1.67
53% Ball Possession 47%
18 Total Shots 16
7 Shots on Target 5
5 Corners 5
2 Yellow Cards 2
26.08.2023 Launceston City Launceston City 0-3 Clarence Zebras Clarence Zebras AVNPL
01.07.2023 Launceston City Launceston City 3-1 Clarence Zebras Clarence Zebras AVNPL
22.04.2023 Clarence Zebras Clarence Zebras 2-1 Launceston City Launceston City AVNPL
23.07.2022 Clarence Zebras Clarence Zebras 0-3 Launceston City Launceston City AVNPL
21.05.2022 Clarence Zebras Clarence Zebras 1-1 Launceston City Launceston City AVNPL
19.03.2022 Launceston City Launceston City 4-3 Clarence Zebras Clarence Zebras AVNPL
POST-MATCH Launceston City vs Clarence Zebras
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Launceston City edged past Clarence Zebras 2-1.

Our pre-match lean was Clarence Zebras at 43%, but a lead that slim is closer to a coin-flip than a call — and it fell the other way. We had also flagged over 2.5 goals (59%), both teams to score (57%), and both reads landed as well.

Coming into the game, across their last 6 meetings in our records, Launceston City had the better of it with 3 wins, 1 drawn. Those games averaged 2.00 goals for Launceston City and 1.67 for Clarence Zebras.

What was the final score of Launceston City vs Clarence Zebras?

Launceston City 2-1 Clarence Zebras in the Australia - National Premier League on 20/04/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Launceston City vs Clarence Zebras?

Before kick-off our model rated an Clarence Zebras win the most likely single outcome at about 43%, with the full match-result split Launceston City 33%, draw 23%, Clarence Zebras 43%. The final score 2-1 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Over 2.5, BTTS Yes — while Match Result (Clarence Zebras) went the other way.

✗ Match Result (Clarence Zebras) ✓ Over 2.5 ✓ BTTS Yes
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