South Hobart 2-1 Launceston City — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Australia - National Premier League, 7 Sep 2024

📅07/09/2024 · 🕒07:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 3-1 2nd Score 2-2
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
58%
1.53
Draw
21%
4.34
Away
21%
4.47
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
42%
2.89
Over 2.5
58%
1.38
Both Teams to Score
Yes
50%
1.46
No
50%
2.51
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
19%
2-3 Goals
35%
4-5 Goals
30%
6+ Goals
16%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
35%
1/2
5%
1/X
5%
X/1
10%
X/2
9%
X/X
12%
2/1
12%
2/2
8%
2/X
4%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
58%
Home Win
61%
-3.1pp
21%
Draw
20%
+0.9pp
21%
Away Win
19%
+2.2pp
42%
Under 2.5
31%
+11.2pp
58%
Over 2.5
69%
-11.2pp
50%
BTTS Yes
64%
-14.4pp
50%
BTTS No
36%
+14.4pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME South Hobart EU Bookmakers 65%
Head to Head
AWAY Launceston City EU Bookmakers 22%
-14% / -14% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +30% / +30%
2.24/1.92 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.86/1.50
+0% / -37% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +35% / +34%
53% Ball Possession 47%
16 Total Shots 12
7 Shots on Target 5
6 Corners 4
363 · 80% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 314 · 77%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
1.4 Yellow Cards 2.6
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME South Hobart
3W-2D-1L
AWAY Launceston City
3.00 Avg Goals (FT) 1.33
57% Ball Possession 43%
16 Total Shots 7
8 Shots on Target 2
6 Corners 3
2 Yellow Cards 2
13.07.2024 Launceston City Launceston City 4-2 South Hobart South Hobart AVNPL
11.05.2024 Launceston City Launceston City 1-2 South Hobart South Hobart AVNPL
09.09.2023 South Hobart South Hobart 1-1 Launceston City Launceston City AVNPL
15.07.2023 Launceston City Launceston City 0-2 South Hobart South Hobart AVNPL
13.05.2023 South Hobart South Hobart 1-1 Launceston City Launceston City AVNPL
06.08.2022 South Hobart South Hobart 10-1 HT 7-0 Launceston City Launceston City AVNPL
POST-MATCH South Hobart vs Launceston City
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

South Hobart edged past Launceston City 2-1.

Just as the model leaned, our model had South Hobart as the likeliest winner at 58%, and the 2-1 landed on that lead. The goals side of the card held up too — over 2.5 goals (58%) came in.

Coming into the game, across their last 6 meetings in our records, South Hobart had the better of it with 3 wins, 2 drawn. Those games averaged 3.00 goals for South Hobart and 1.33 for Launceston City.

What was the final score of South Hobart vs Launceston City?

South Hobart 2-1 Launceston City in the Australia - National Premier League on 07/09/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for South Hobart vs Launceston City?

Before kick-off our model rated a South Hobart win the most likely single outcome at about 58%, with the full match-result split South Hobart 58%, draw 21%, Launceston City 21%. The final score 2-1 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (South Hobart), Over 2.5 — a clean sweep of the main markets.

✓ Match Result (South Hobart) ✓ Over 2.5
Want to know how this prediction was produced? Read how we price a match →
Want to test this kind of bet across 26 seasons yourself? Open Match Studio →
AVNPL More Australia - National Premier League
7 Sep 2024
07:15 Clarence Zebras vs Riverside Olympic Analysis →
07:30 Glenorchy Knights vs Devonport City Analysis →
11:00 South Melbourne vs Oakleigh Cannons Analysis →
12:00 O Connor Knights vs Cooma Tigers Analysis →