Launceston City 4-2 South Hobart — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Australia - National Premier League, 13 Jul 2024

📅13/07/2024 · 🕒09:45 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 2-2 2nd Score 0-0
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
34%
4.65
Draw
33%
4.34
Away
33%
1.52
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
50%
2.74
Over 2.5
50%
1.41
Both Teams to Score
Yes
50%
1.5
No
50%
2.4
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
33%
Home Win
18%
+14.9pp
33%
Draw
20%
+13.4pp
33%
Away Win
62%
-28.3pp
50%
Under 2.5
33%
+17.2pp
50%
Over 2.5
67%
-17.2pp
50%
BTTS Yes
62%
-12.5pp
50%
BTTS No
38%
+12.5pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Launceston City EU Bookmakers 22%
Head to Head
AWAY South Hobart EU Bookmakers 66%
+9% / +9% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations -3% / -3%
1.58/2.43 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 2.95/1.45
+27% / -16% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +34% / -32%
50% Ball Possession 50%
0 Total Shots 0
0 Shots on Target 0
0 Corners 0
0 · 0% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 0 · 0%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
2.4 Yellow Cards 1.6
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Launceston City
0W-2D-4L
AWAY South Hobart
0.83 Avg Goals (FT) 3.00
44% Ball Possession 56%
8 Total Shots 15
3 Shots on Target 7
4 Corners 7
2 Yellow Cards 2
11.05.2024 Launceston City Launceston City 1-2 South Hobart South Hobart AVNPL
09.09.2023 South Hobart South Hobart 1-1 Launceston City Launceston City AVNPL
15.07.2023 Launceston City Launceston City 0-2 South Hobart South Hobart AVNPL
13.05.2023 South Hobart South Hobart 1-1 Launceston City Launceston City AVNPL
06.08.2022 South Hobart South Hobart 10-1 HT 7-0 Launceston City Launceston City AVNPL
30.07.2022 Launceston City Launceston City 1-2 South Hobart South Hobart AVNPL
POST-MATCH Launceston City vs South Hobart
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Launceston City saw off South Hobart 4-2. 6 goals made it one of the day's more open games.

We called this one close before kick-off — 33% / 33% / 33% — and on the day Launceston City made the difference.

Over 2.5 goals sat near a coin-flip at 50% and both teams to score was close to even at 50%.

Coming into the game, across their last 6 meetings in our records, South Hobart led the recent series with 4 wins, 2 drawn. Those games averaged 0.83 goals for Launceston City and 3.00 for South Hobart.

What was the final score of Launceston City vs South Hobart?

Launceston City 4-2 South Hobart in the Australia - National Premier League on 13/07/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Launceston City vs South Hobart?

Before kick-off our model rated a Launceston City win the most likely single outcome at about 33%, with the full match-result split Launceston City 33%, draw 33%, South Hobart 33%. The final score 4-2 went against our main leads this time — single matches are noisy by nature; our accuracy is measured across thousands of predictions, not one result.

◐ Match Result — model had it level (33/33/33)
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