Avondale Heights 3-3 Oakleigh Cannons — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Australia - National Premier League, 13 Jul 2024

📅13/07/2024 · 🕒08:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 2-2 2nd Score 0-0
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
34%
2.57
Draw
33%
3.64
Away
33%
2.23
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
50%
2.33
Over 2.5
50%
1.54
Both Teams to Score
Yes
50%
1.49
No
50%
2.44
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
33%
Home Win
35%
-1.8pp
33%
Draw
24%
+9.3pp
33%
Away Win
41%
-7.6pp
50%
Under 2.5
39%
+11.0pp
50%
Over 2.5
61%
-11.0pp
50%
BTTS Yes
63%
-13.1pp
50%
BTTS No
37%
+13.1pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Avondale Heights EU Bookmakers 39%
Head to Head
AWAY Oakleigh Cannons EU Bookmakers 45%
-3% / -3% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations -5% / -5%
0.51/1.75 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 0.82/2.17
-10% / -16% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -24% / +49%
50% Ball Possession 50%
0 Total Shots 0
0 Shots on Target 0
0 Corners 0
0 · 0% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 0 · 0%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
17.0 Crosses 25.8
3.5 Yellow Cards 2.0
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Avondale Heights
3W-1D-2L
AWAY Oakleigh Cannons
1.83 Avg Goals (FT) 2.33
0.46 xG 2.12
56% Ball Possession 44%
13 Total Shots 15
5 Shots on Target 6
6 Corners 6
320 Passes 206
76% Pass Accuracy 66%
14 Crosses 20
4 Yellow Cards 3
12.04.2024 Oakleigh Cannons Oakleigh Cannons 1-2 HT 1-2 Avondale Heights Avondale Heights AVNPL
28.07.2023 Oakleigh Cannons Oakleigh Cannons 0-0 HT 0-0 Avondale Heights Avondale Heights AVNPL
29.04.2023 Avondale Heights Avondale Heights 4-2 HT 2-2 Oakleigh Cannons Oakleigh Cannons AVNPL
09.07.2022 Avondale Heights Avondale Heights 1-4 HT 1-1 Oakleigh Cannons Oakleigh Cannons AVNPL
08.04.2022 Oakleigh Cannons Oakleigh Cannons 6-2 HT 1-2 Avondale Heights Avondale Heights AVNPL
27.02.2021 Avondale Heights Avondale Heights 2-1 HT 0-0 Oakleigh Cannons Oakleigh Cannons AVNPL
POST-MATCH Avondale Heights vs Oakleigh Cannons
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Avondale Heights and Oakleigh Cannons couldn't be separated, finishing 3-3. Half-time: 0-1. 6 goals made it one of the day's more open games.

Our pre-match split (33% / 33% / 33%) said coin-flip, and the draw proved it right.

Over 2.5 goals sat near a coin-flip at 50% and both teams to score was close to even at 50%.

Coming into the game, across their last 6 meetings in our records, Avondale Heights had the better of it with 3 wins, 1 drawn. Those games averaged 1.83 goals for Avondale Heights and 2.33 for Oakleigh Cannons.

What was the final score of Avondale Heights vs Oakleigh Cannons?

Avondale Heights 3-3 Oakleigh Cannons in the Australia - National Premier League on 13/07/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Avondale Heights vs Oakleigh Cannons?

Before kick-off our model rated a Avondale Heights win the most likely single outcome at about 33%, with the full match-result split Avondale Heights 33%, draw 33%, Oakleigh Cannons 33%. The final score 3-3 went against our main leads this time — single matches are noisy by nature; our accuracy is measured across thousands of predictions, not one result.

◐ Match Result — model had it level (33/33/33)
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