Oakleigh Cannons 1-2 Avondale Heights — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Australia - National Premier League, 12 Apr 2024

📅12/04/2024 · 🕒13:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-0 2nd Score 1-1
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
44%
2.05
Draw
23%
3.54
Away
33%
2.94
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
49%
2.29
Over 2.5
51%
1.56
Both Teams to Score
Yes
51%
1.5
No
49%
2.4
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
23%
2-3 Goals
39%
4-5 Goals
27%
6+ Goals
11%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
16%
1/2
10%
1/X
7%
X/1
18%
X/2
9%
X/X
10%
2/1
10%
2/2
14%
2/X
6%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
44%
Home Win
45%
-0.8pp
23%
Draw
25%
-1.5pp
33%
Away Win
30%
+2.3pp
49%
Under 2.5
40%
+9.4pp
51%
Over 2.5
60%
-9.4pp
51%
BTTS Yes
62%
-11.6pp
49%
BTTS No
38%
+11.6pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Oakleigh Cannons EU Bookmakers 49%
Head to Head
AWAY Avondale Heights EU Bookmakers 34%
-2% / -2% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations -8% / -8%
1.51/1.36 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.37/1.57
-19% / +8% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -12% / +11%
50% Ball Possession 50%
13 Total Shots 13
4 Shots on Target 5
5 Corners 4
304 · 73% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 280 · 73%
29.0 Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
23.3 Crosses 16.0
2.0 Yellow Cards 4.2
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Oakleigh Cannons
3W-1D-2L
AWAY Avondale Heights
2.50 Avg Goals (FT) 1.67
2.12 xG 0.46
45% Ball Possession 55%
16 Total Shots 14
6 Shots on Target 5
6 Corners 5
206 Passes 320
66% Pass Accuracy 76%
20 Crosses 14
3 Yellow Cards 4
28.07.2023 Oakleigh Cannons Oakleigh Cannons 0-0 HT 0-0 Avondale Heights Avondale Heights AVNPL
29.04.2023 Avondale Heights Avondale Heights 4-2 HT 2-2 Oakleigh Cannons Oakleigh Cannons AVNPL
09.07.2022 Avondale Heights Avondale Heights 1-4 HT 1-1 Oakleigh Cannons Oakleigh Cannons AVNPL
08.04.2022 Oakleigh Cannons Oakleigh Cannons 6-2 HT 1-2 Avondale Heights Avondale Heights AVNPL
27.02.2021 Avondale Heights Avondale Heights 2-1 HT 0-0 Oakleigh Cannons Oakleigh Cannons AVNPL
04.04.2015 Avondale Heights Avondale Heights 1-2 HT 1-0 Oakleigh Cannons Oakleigh Cannons AVNPL
POST-MATCH Oakleigh Cannons vs Avondale Heights
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Avondale Heights nicked a narrow win over Oakleigh Cannons 2-1 away from home.

Our pre-match lean was Oakleigh Cannons at 44%, but a lead that slim is closer to a coin-flip than a call — and it fell the other way.

Over 2.5 goals sat near a coin-flip at 51% and both teams to score was close to even at 51%.

Coming into the game, across their last 6 meetings in our records, Oakleigh Cannons had the better of it with 3 wins, 1 drawn. Those games averaged 2.50 goals for Oakleigh Cannons and 1.67 for Avondale Heights.

What was the final score of Oakleigh Cannons vs Avondale Heights?

Oakleigh Cannons 1-2 Avondale Heights in the Australia - National Premier League on 12/04/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Oakleigh Cannons vs Avondale Heights?

Before kick-off our model rated a Oakleigh Cannons win the most likely single outcome at about 44%, with the full match-result split Oakleigh Cannons 44%, draw 23%, Avondale Heights 33%. The final score 1-2 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Over 2.5, BTTS Yes — while Match Result (Oakleigh Cannons) went the other way.

✗ Match Result (Oakleigh Cannons) ✓ Over 2.5 ✓ BTTS Yes
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