Glenorchy Knights 4-0 Devonport City — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Australia - National Premier League, 13 Jul 2024

📅13/07/2024 · 🕒09:30 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 2-2 2nd Score 0-0
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
34%
2.18
Draw
33%
3.54
Away
33%
2.79
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
50%
2.29
Over 2.5
50%
1.56
Both Teams to Score
Yes
50%
1.49
No
50%
2.44
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
33%
Home Win
42%
-9.0pp
33%
Draw
25%
+8.2pp
33%
Away Win
32%
+0.8pp
50%
Under 2.5
40%
+10.2pp
50%
Over 2.5
60%
-10.2pp
50%
BTTS Yes
63%
-13.1pp
50%
BTTS No
37%
+13.1pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Glenorchy Knights EU Bookmakers 46%
Head to Head
AWAY Devonport City EU Bookmakers 36%
+19% / +19% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +51% / +51%
1.70/0.79 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 2.39/0.37
-1% / +100% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +53% / +150%
50% Ball Possession 50%
0 Total Shots 0
0 Shots on Target 0
0 Corners 0
0 · 0% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 0 · 0%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
1.5 Yellow Cards 4.5
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Glenorchy Knights
0W-1D-5L
AWAY Devonport City
0.50 Avg Goals (FT) 1.83
48% Ball Possession 52%
9 Total Shots 14
4 Shots on Target 5
6 Corners 8
3 Yellow Cards 3
11.05.2024 Devonport City Devonport City 1-1 Glenorchy Knights Glenorchy Knights AVNPL
09.09.2023 Glenorchy Knights Glenorchy Knights 0-2 Devonport City Devonport City AVNPL
15.07.2023 Devonport City Devonport City 3-1 Glenorchy Knights Glenorchy Knights AVNPL
13.05.2023 Devonport City Devonport City 2-0 Glenorchy Knights Glenorchy Knights AVNPL
30.07.2022 Glenorchy Knights Glenorchy Knights 0-1 Devonport City Devonport City AVNPL
04.06.2022 Glenorchy Knights Glenorchy Knights 1-2 Devonport City Devonport City AVNPL
POST-MATCH Glenorchy Knights vs Devonport City
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Glenorchy Knights swept aside Devonport City 4-0.

Our pre-match split (33% / 33% / 33%) promised a tight game; Glenorchy Knights found the edge the numbers couldn't.

Over 2.5 goals sat near a coin-flip at 50% and both teams to score was close to even at 50%.

For context: across their last 6 meetings in our records, Devonport City led the recent series with 5 wins, 1 drawn. Those games averaged 0.50 goals for Glenorchy Knights and 1.83 for Devonport City.

What was the final score of Glenorchy Knights vs Devonport City?

Glenorchy Knights 4-0 Devonport City in the Australia - National Premier League on 13/07/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Glenorchy Knights vs Devonport City?

Before kick-off our model rated a Glenorchy Knights win the most likely single outcome at about 33%, with the full match-result split Glenorchy Knights 33%, draw 33%, Devonport City 33%. The final score 4-0 went against our main leads this time — single matches are noisy by nature; our accuracy is measured across thousands of predictions, not one result.

◐ Match Result — model had it level (33/33/33)
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