Launceston City 1-2 South Hobart — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Australia - National Premier League, 11 May 2024

📅11/05/2024 · 🕒09:45 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 0-3 2nd Score 1-3
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
27%
4.71
Draw
18%
4.49
Away
55%
1.46
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
38%
2.51
Over 2.5
62%
1.48
Both Teams to Score
Yes
52%
1.63
No
48%
2.13
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
23%
2-3 Goals
32%
4-5 Goals
34%
6+ Goals
11%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
16%
1/2
6%
1/X
5%
X/1
5%
X/2
20%
X/X
9%
2/1
5%
2/2
29%
2/X
5%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
27%
Home Win
18%
+9.4pp
18%
Draw
19%
-0.4pp
55%
Away Win
64%
-9.0pp
38%
Under 2.5
36%
+2.2pp
62%
Over 2.5
64%
-2.2pp
52%
BTTS Yes
57%
-5.5pp
48%
BTTS No
43%
+5.5pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Launceston City EU Bookmakers 21%
Head to Head
AWAY South Hobart EU Bookmakers 69%
+18% / +18% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations -7% / -7%
1.75/2.26 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 3.18/1.57
+44% / -7% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +42% / -38%
43% Ball Possession 57%
9 Total Shots 16
3 Shots on Target 7
4 Corners 6
248 · 72% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 391 · 80%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
2.4 Yellow Cards 1.6
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Launceston City
0W-2D-4L
AWAY South Hobart
0.67 Avg Goals (FT) 3.33
43% Ball Possession 57%
9 Total Shots 15
4 Shots on Target 7
3 Corners 7
2 Yellow Cards 2
09.09.2023 South Hobart South Hobart 1-1 Launceston City Launceston City AVNPL
15.07.2023 Launceston City Launceston City 0-2 South Hobart South Hobart AVNPL
13.05.2023 South Hobart South Hobart 1-1 Launceston City Launceston City AVNPL
06.08.2022 South Hobart South Hobart 10-1 HT 7-0 Launceston City Launceston City AVNPL
30.07.2022 Launceston City Launceston City 1-2 South Hobart South Hobart AVNPL
04.06.2022 Launceston City Launceston City 0-4 South Hobart South Hobart AVNPL
POST-MATCH Launceston City vs South Hobart
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

South Hobart squeezed past Launceston City 2-1 away from home.

Just as the model leaned, our model had South Hobart as the likeliest winner at 55%, and the 2-1 landed on that lead. The goals side of the card held up too — over 2.5 goals (62%) came in.

For context: across their last 6 meetings in our records, South Hobart led the recent series with 4 wins, 2 drawn. Those games averaged 0.67 goals for Launceston City and 3.33 for South Hobart.

What was the final score of Launceston City vs South Hobart?

Launceston City 1-2 South Hobart in the Australia - National Premier League on 11/05/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Launceston City vs South Hobart?

Before kick-off our model rated an South Hobart win the most likely single outcome at about 55%, with the full match-result split Launceston City 27%, draw 18%, South Hobart 55%. The final score 1-2 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (South Hobart), Over 2.5, BTTS Yes — a clean sweep of the main markets.

✓ Match Result (South Hobart) ✓ Over 2.5 ✓ BTTS Yes
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