South Melbourne 1-2 Oakleigh Cannons — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Australia - National Premier League, 11 May 2025

📅11/05/2025 · 🕒10:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-2 2nd Score 2-1
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
28%
3.69
Draw
23%
3.64
Away
49%
1.77
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
47%
1.95
Over 2.5
53%
1.78
Both Teams to Score
Yes
48%
1.75
No
52%
1.96
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
28%
2-3 Goals
43%
4-5 Goals
20%
6+ Goals
9%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
13%
1/2
5%
1/X
5%
X/1
8%
X/2
13%
X/X
12%
2/1
8%
2/2
31%
2/X
5%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
💡 For the risk lovers: Away Win ★★★ — pattern-based signals at fair odds; informational, not a sized bet.
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
28%
Home Win
24%
+4.4pp
23%
Draw
24%
-1.0pp
49%
Away Win
52%
-3.4pp
47%
Under 2.5
48%
-0.4pp
53%
Over 2.5
52%
+0.4pp
48%
BTTS Yes
53%
-4.6pp
52%
BTTS No
47%
+4.6pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME South Melbourne EU Bookmakers 27%
Head to Head
AWAY Oakleigh Cannons EU Bookmakers 56%
+16% / +16% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +3% / +0%
1.72/0.87 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 2.50/0.40
-33% / +150% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -6% / +10%
45% Ball Possession 55%
11 Total Shots 12
4 Shots on Target 5
4 Corners 6
268 · 73% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 353 · 78%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
12.0 Crosses 17.9
1.8 Yellow Cards 1.8
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME South Melbourne
2W-1D-3L
AWAY Oakleigh Cannons
0.67 Avg Goals (FT) 1.00
40% Ball Possession 60%
10 Total Shots 17
2 Shots on Target 6
4 Corners 10
3 Yellow Cards 2
07.09.2024 South Melbourne South Melbourne 0-1 HT 0-0 Oakleigh Cannons Oakleigh Cannons AVNPL
30.06.2024 South Melbourne South Melbourne 1-2 HT 0-1 Oakleigh Cannons Oakleigh Cannons AVNPL
22.03.2024 Oakleigh Cannons Oakleigh Cannons 0-0 HT 0-0 South Melbourne South Melbourne AVNPL
01.09.2023 South Melbourne South Melbourne 2-1 HT 1-0 Oakleigh Cannons Oakleigh Cannons AVNPL
02.07.2023 South Melbourne South Melbourne 0-2 HT 0-1 Oakleigh Cannons Oakleigh Cannons AVNPL
01.04.2023 Oakleigh Cannons Oakleigh Cannons 0-1 HT 0-0 South Melbourne South Melbourne AVNPL
POST-MATCH South Melbourne vs Oakleigh Cannons
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Oakleigh Cannons nicked a narrow win over South Melbourne 2-1 away from home. Half-time: 0-1.

As our pre-match numbers suggested, our model had Oakleigh Cannons as the likeliest winner at 49%, and the 2-1 landed on that lead.

Over 2.5 goals sat near a coin-flip at 53% and both teams to score was close to even at 48%.

Coming into the game, across their last 6 meetings in our records, Oakleigh Cannons led the recent series with 3 wins, 1 drawn. Those games averaged 0.67 goals for South Melbourne and 1.00 for Oakleigh Cannons.

What was the final score of South Melbourne vs Oakleigh Cannons?

South Melbourne 1-2 Oakleigh Cannons in the Australia - National Premier League on 11/05/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for South Melbourne vs Oakleigh Cannons?

Before kick-off our model rated an Oakleigh Cannons win the most likely single outcome at about 49%, with the full match-result split South Melbourne 28%, draw 23%, Oakleigh Cannons 49%. The final score 1-2 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Oakleigh Cannons), Over 2.5 — while BTTS No went the other way.

✓ Match Result (Oakleigh Cannons) ✓ Over 2.5 ✗ BTTS No
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