Cooma Tigers 2-1 Canberra FC — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Australia - National Premier League, 11 May 2025

📅11/05/2025 · 🕒08:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-2 2nd Score 2-1
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
27%
3.75
Draw
20%
4.19
Away
53%
1.64
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
37%
Over 2.5
63%
Both Teams to Score
Yes
57%
1.39
No
43%
2.75
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
18%
2-3 Goals
45%
4-5 Goals
24%
6+ Goals
13%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
14%
1/2
8%
1/X
4%
X/1
7%
X/2
23%
X/X
11%
2/1
5%
2/2
23%
2/X
5%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
💡 For the risk lovers: Away Win ★★ — pattern-based signals at fair odds; informational, not a sized bet.
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
27%
Home Win
23%
+3.7pp
20%
Draw
20%
+0.1pp
53%
Away Win
56%
-3.8pp
57%
BTTS Yes
68%
-10.5pp
43%
BTTS No
32%
+10.5pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Cooma Tigers EU Bookmakers 27%
Head to Head
AWAY Canberra FC EU Bookmakers 61%
+30% / +30% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +1% / -1%
2.74/1.37 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 2.71/0.96
+102% / +38% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +27% / +23%
48% Ball Possession 52%
10 Total Shots 16
3 Shots on Target 7
6 Corners 5
322 · 77% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 358 · 81%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
2.8 Yellow Cards 2.1
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Cooma Tigers
0W-2D-4L
AWAY Canberra FC
2.17 Avg Goals (FT) 3.50
50% Ball Possession 50%
20 Total Shots 14
8 Shots on Target 10
6 Corners 3
2 Yellow Cards 2
21.09.2024 Canberra FC Canberra FC 4-3 Cooma Tigers Cooma Tigers AVTCT
03.08.2024 Cooma Tigers Cooma Tigers 2-3 Canberra FC Canberra FC AVTCT
14.07.2024 Canberra FC Canberra FC 3-1 HT 2-1 Cooma Tigers Cooma Tigers AVTCT
20.04.2024 Cooma Tigers Cooma Tigers 2-2 Canberra FC Canberra FC AVNPL
08.08.2023 Canberra FC Canberra FC 5-1 Cooma Tigers Cooma Tigers AVNPL
10.06.2023 Cooma Tigers Cooma Tigers 4-4 Canberra FC Canberra FC AVNPL
POST-MATCH Cooma Tigers vs Canberra FC
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Cooma Tigers nicked a narrow win over Canberra FC 2-1.

Our pre-match lean was Canberra FC at 53%, but a lead that slim is closer to a coin-flip than a call — and it fell the other way. The goals side of the card held up too — over 2.5 goals (63%), both teams to score (57%) came in.

Coming into the game, across their last 6 meetings in our records, Canberra FC led the recent series with 4 wins, 2 drawn. Those games averaged 2.17 goals for Cooma Tigers and 3.50 for Canberra FC.

What was the final score of Cooma Tigers vs Canberra FC?

Cooma Tigers 2-1 Canberra FC in the Australia - National Premier League on 11/05/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Cooma Tigers vs Canberra FC?

Before kick-off our model rated an Canberra FC win the most likely single outcome at about 53%, with the full match-result split Cooma Tigers 27%, draw 20%, Canberra FC 53%. The final score 2-1 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Over 2.5, BTTS Yes — while Match Result (Canberra FC) went the other way.

✗ Match Result (Canberra FC) ✓ Over 2.5 ✓ BTTS Yes
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