Yoogali 5-1 Gungahlin — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Australia - National Premier League, 11 May 2025

📅11/05/2025 · 🕒08:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-2 2nd Score 1-3
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
26%
3.46
Draw
18%
4.49
Away
56%
1.68
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
31%
2.74
Over 2.5
69%
1.41
Both Teams to Score
Yes
68%
1.46
No
32%
2.51
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
21%
2-3 Goals
31%
4-5 Goals
32%
6+ Goals
16%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
7%
1/2
8%
1/X
6%
X/1
7%
X/2
15%
X/X
8%
2/1
12%
2/2
32%
2/X
5%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
💡 For the risk lovers: Away Win ★★★ — pattern-based signals at fair odds; informational, not a sized bet.
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
26%
Home Win
26%
+0.5pp
18%
Draw
19%
-0.7pp
56%
Away Win
55%
+0.2pp
31%
Under 2.5
33%
-1.9pp
69%
Over 2.5
67%
+2.0pp
68%
BTTS Yes
64%
+3.3pp
32%
BTTS No
36%
-3.3pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Yoogali EU Bookmakers 29%
Head to Head
AWAY Gungahlin EU Bookmakers 60%
+7% / +7% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations -20% / -20%
1.44/1.11 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 2.18/1.96
+6% / +70% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +2% / -41%
44% Ball Possession 56%
11 Total Shots 15
4 Shots on Target 6
4 Corners 6
309 · 74% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 399 · 80%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
Yellow Cards 1.4
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Yoogali
1W-0D-2L
AWAY Gungahlin
0.67 Avg Goals (FT) 4.67
17.08.2024 Yoogali 2-1 Gungahlin Gungahlin AVNPL
23.06.2024 Gungahlin Gungahlin 9-0 Yoogali AVTCT
05.05.2024 Gungahlin Gungahlin 4-0 Yoogali AVTCT
POST-MATCH Yoogali vs Gungahlin
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Yoogali cruised past Gungahlin 5-1. 6 goals made it one of the day's more open games.

By our pre-match numbers this was an upset: we had Gungahlin at 56% and the game still went the other way. Single results are noisy — probabilities earn their keep across thousands of matches, not one. The goals side of the card held up too — over 2.5 goals (69%), both teams to score (68%) came in.

For context: across their last 3 meetings in our records, Gungahlin led the recent series with 2 wins. Those games averaged 0.67 goals for Yoogali and 4.67 for Gungahlin.

What was the final score of Yoogali vs Gungahlin?

Yoogali 5-1 Gungahlin in the Australia - National Premier League on 11/05/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Yoogali vs Gungahlin?

Before kick-off our model rated an Gungahlin win the most likely single outcome at about 56%, with the full match-result split Yoogali 26%, draw 18%, Gungahlin 56%. The final score 5-1 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Over 2.5, BTTS Yes — while Match Result (Gungahlin) went the other way.

✗ Match Result (Gungahlin) ✓ Over 2.5 ✓ BTTS Yes
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