Green Gully 1-6 Avondale Heights — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Australia - National Premier League, 27 Jul 2024

Green Gully
1-6 HT 0-2
Avondale Heights
📅27/07/2024 · 🕒06:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 2-2 ✗ 2nd Score 1-2 ✗
Australia - National Premier League – 2024

Green Gully vs Avondale Heights Prediction — Model Probabilities

MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
30%
3.46
Draw
26%
3.94
Away
44%
1.74
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
40%
2.59
Over 2.5
60%
1.45
Both Teams to Score
Yes
58%
1.46
No
42%
2.51
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
19%
2-3 Goals
41%
4-5 Goals
27%
6+ Goals
13%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
11%
1/2
9%
1/X
8%
X/1
11%
X/2
10%
X/X
9%
2/1
7%
2/2
25%
2/X
10%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
💡 For the risk lovers: Away Win ★★★ — pattern-based signals at fair odds; informational, not a sized bet.
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
29%
Home Win
25%
+4.3pp
26%
Draw
22%
+4.6pp
44%
Away Win
53%
-8.9pp
40%
Under 2.5
35%
+5.1pp
60%
Over 2.5
65%
-5.1pp
58%
BTTS Yes
64%
-6.4pp
42%
BTTS No
36%
+6.4pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.

Green Gully v Avondale Heights — Team-Based Signals

PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Green Gully EU Bookmakers 29%
Head to Head
AWAY Avondale Heights EU Bookmakers 57%
-7% / -7% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +8% / +8%
0.94/1.72 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 2.11/1.06
-33% / +10% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +0% / +12%
48% Ball Possession 52%
10 Total Shots 13
4 Shots on Target 6
4 Corners 6
278 · 75% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 372 · 79%
– Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area –
37.0 Crosses 15.6
1.8 Yellow Cards 2.7

Green Gully vs Avondale Heights Head-to-Head — Last 6 Meetings

H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Green Gully
2W-1D-3L
AWAY Avondale Heights
1.00 Avg Goals (FT) 1.50
45% Ball Possession 55%
9 Total Shots 13
3 Shots on Target 6
3 Corners 4
280 Passes 342
74% Pass Accuracy 78%
20 Crosses 11
3 Yellow Cards 3
The Meetings
27.04.2024 Avondale Heights Avondale Heights 0-1 HT 0-0 Green Gully Green Gully AVNPL
23.06.2023 Green Gully Green Gully 0-4 HT 0-3 Avondale Heights Avondale Heights AVNPL
25.03.2023 Avondale Heights Avondale Heights 3-2 HT 1-0 Green Gully Green Gully AVNPL
17.06.2022 Green Gully Green Gully 1-1 HT 1-0 Avondale Heights Avondale Heights AVNPL
19.03.2022 Avondale Heights Avondale Heights 1-0 HT 1-0 Green Gully Green Gully AVNPL
13.03.2021 Avondale Heights Avondale Heights 0-2 HT 0-2 Green Gully Green Gully AVNPL
POST-MATCH Green Gully vs Avondale Heights
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Avondale Heights ran out comfortable winners over Green Gully 6-1 away from home. Half-time: 0-2. 7 goals made it one of the day's more open games.

Just as the model leaned, our model had Avondale Heights as the likeliest winner at 44%, and the 6-1 landed on that lead. The goals side of the card held up too — over 2.5 goals (60%), both teams to score (58%) came in.

For context: across their last 6 meetings in our records, Avondale Heights led the recent series with 3 wins, 1 drawn. Those games averaged 1.00 goals for Green Gully and 1.50 for Avondale Heights.

What was the final score of Green Gully vs Avondale Heights?

Green Gully 1-6 Avondale Heights in the Australia - National Premier League on 27/07/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Green Gully vs Avondale Heights?

Before kick-off our model rated an Avondale Heights win the most likely single outcome at about 44%, with the full match-result split Green Gully 29%, draw 26%, Avondale Heights 44%. The final score 1-6 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Avondale Heights), Over 2.5, BTTS Yes — a clean sweep of the main markets.

✓ Match Result (Avondale Heights) ✓ Over 2.5 ✓ BTTS Yes
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