South Adelaide Panthers 1-3 NE MetroStars — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Australia - National Premier League, 27 Jul 2024

📅27/07/2024 · 🕒08:30 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-2 2nd Score 2-1
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
26%
7.78
Draw
21%
6.26
Away
53%
1.23
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
43%
Over 2.5
57%
Both Teams to Score
Yes
57%
1.55
No
43%
2.29
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
24%
2-3 Goals
42%
4-5 Goals
22%
6+ Goals
12%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
8%
1/2
6%
1/X
5%
X/1
8%
X/2
19%
X/X
7%
2/1
10%
2/2
28%
2/X
9%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
💡 For the risk lovers: Away Win ★★★ — pattern-based signals at fair odds; informational, not a sized bet.
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
26%
Home Win
10%
+16.1pp
20%
Draw
13%
+7.4pp
53%
Away Win
77%
-23.6pp
57%
BTTS Yes
60%
-3.5pp
43%
BTTS No
40%
+3.5pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME South Adelaide Panthers EU Bookmakers 13%
Head to Head
AWAY NE MetroStars EU Bookmakers 81%
+6% / +7% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations -11% / -11%
1.17/2.58 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 3.29/1.28
+22% / -3% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +20% / -25%
44% Ball Possession 56%
9 Total Shots 12
4 Shots on Target 6
4 Corners 5
312 · 76% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 386 · 77%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
1.5 Yellow Cards 2.6
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME South Adelaide Panthers
2W-0D-4L
AWAY NE MetroStars
0.83 Avg Goals (FT) 1.83
44% Ball Possession 56%
9 Total Shots 17
5 Shots on Target 8
4 Corners 8
3 Yellow Cards 2
04.05.2024 NE MetroStars NE MetroStars 2-0 HT 1-0 South Adelaide Panthers South Adelaide Panthers AVSA
17.06.2023 NE MetroStars NE MetroStars 5-1 HT 1-0 South Adelaide Panthers South Adelaide Panthers AVSA
31.03.2023 South Adelaide Panthers South Adelaide Panthers 1-2 HT 1-2 NE MetroStars NE MetroStars AVNPL
13.08.2022 NE MetroStars NE MetroStars 2-1 HT 1-0 South Adelaide Panthers South Adelaide Panthers AVNPL
21.05.2022 South Adelaide Panthers South Adelaide Panthers 1-0 HT 1-0 NE MetroStars NE MetroStars AVNPL
17.08.2021 NE MetroStars NE MetroStars 0-1 HT 0-0 South Adelaide Panthers South Adelaide Panthers AVNPL
POST-MATCH South Adelaide Panthers vs NE MetroStars
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

NE MetroStars beat South Adelaide Panthers 3-1 away from home. It was 1-0 at half-time, meaning the result turned around in the second half.

As we highlighted before kick-off, our model had NE MetroStars as the likeliest winner at 53%, and the 3-1 landed on that lead. The goals side of the card held up too — over 2.5 goals (57%), both teams to score (57%) came in.

For context: across their last 6 meetings in our records, NE MetroStars led the recent series with 4 wins. Those games averaged 0.83 goals for South Adelaide Panthers and 1.83 for NE MetroStars.

What was the final score of South Adelaide Panthers vs NE MetroStars?

South Adelaide Panthers 1-3 NE MetroStars in the Australia - National Premier League on 27/07/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for South Adelaide Panthers vs NE MetroStars?

Before kick-off our model rated an NE MetroStars win the most likely single outcome at about 53%, with the full match-result split South Adelaide Panthers 26%, draw 20%, NE MetroStars 53%. The final score 1-3 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (NE MetroStars), Over 2.5, BTTS Yes — a clean sweep of the main markets.

✓ Match Result (NE MetroStars) ✓ Over 2.5 ✓ BTTS Yes
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