Brisbane Roar II 0-1 Gold Coast Knights — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Australia - National Premier League, 27 Jul 2024

📅27/07/2024 · 🕒07:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 0-3 2nd Score 1-2
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
15%
7.95
Draw
17%
6.26
Away
68%
1.19
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
42%
4.0
Over 2.5
58%
1.22
Both Teams to Score
Yes
50%
1.63
No
50%
2.13
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
21%
2-3 Goals
39%
4-5 Goals
24%
6+ Goals
16%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
4%
1/2
6%
1/X
4%
X/1
7%
X/2
14%
X/X
9%
2/1
4%
2/2
48%
2/X
4%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
💡 For the risk lovers: Away Win ★★★ — pattern-based signals at fair odds; informational, not a sized bet.
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
15%
Home Win
9%
+6.0pp
17%
Draw
12%
+4.9pp
68%
Away Win
78%
-11.0pp
42%
Under 2.5
22%
+20.7pp
58%
Over 2.5
78%
-20.7pp
50%
BTTS Yes
57%
-7.7pp
50%
BTTS No
43%
+7.7pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Brisbane Roar II EU Bookmakers 13%
Head to Head
AWAY Gold Coast Knights EU Bookmakers 84%
-10% / -10% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations -10% / -10%
0.80/1.53 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.00/1.12
-55% / +0% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -27% / -22%
41% Ball Possession 59%
7 Total Shots 15
3 Shots on Target 7
5 Corners 9
245 · 72% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 432 · 83%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
13.0 Crosses 20.4
1.2 Yellow Cards 2.3
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Brisbane Roar II
0W-1D-5L
AWAY Gold Coast Knights
1.00 Avg Goals (FT) 2.50
0.45 xG 2.60
39% Ball Possession 61%
8 Total Shots 18
3 Shots on Target 8
3 Corners 8
199 Passes 372
64% Pass Accuracy 77%
10 Crosses 25
2 Yellow Cards 1
05.04.2024 Gold Coast Knights Gold Coast Knights 4-2 HT 4-1 Brisbane Roar II Brisbane Roar II AVSQ
21.07.2023 Brisbane Roar II Brisbane Roar II 2-3 HT 1-1 Gold Coast Knights Gold Coast Knights AVSQ
22.04.2023 Gold Coast Knights Gold Coast Knights 2-1 HT 2-1 Brisbane Roar II Brisbane Roar II AVNPL
17.08.2022 Brisbane Roar II Brisbane Roar II 1-3 HT 1-0 Gold Coast Knights Gold Coast Knights AVSQ
29.07.2022 Gold Coast Knights Gold Coast Knights 0-0 HT 0-0 Brisbane Roar II Brisbane Roar II AVSQ
23.07.2021 Brisbane Roar II Brisbane Roar II 0-3 HT 0-0 Gold Coast Knights Gold Coast Knights AVSQ
POST-MATCH Brisbane Roar II vs Gold Coast Knights
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Gold Coast Knights squeezed past Brisbane Roar II 1-0 away from home. The game was level at 0-0 at the break, so the decisive goals came after it.

As we said in the preview, our model had Gold Coast Knights as the likeliest winner at 68%, and the 1-0 landed on that lead. The goals read — over 2.5 goals (58%) — went the other way, though.

Coming into the game, across their last 6 meetings in our records, Gold Coast Knights led the recent series with 5 wins, 1 drawn. Those games averaged 1.00 goals for Brisbane Roar II and 2.50 for Gold Coast Knights.

What was the final score of Brisbane Roar II vs Gold Coast Knights?

Brisbane Roar II 0-1 Gold Coast Knights in the Australia - National Premier League on 27/07/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Brisbane Roar II vs Gold Coast Knights?

Before kick-off our model rated an Gold Coast Knights win the most likely single outcome at about 68%, with the full match-result split Brisbane Roar II 15%, draw 17%, Gold Coast Knights 68%. The final score 0-1 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Gold Coast Knights) — while Over 2.5 went the other way.

✓ Match Result (Gold Coast Knights) ✗ Over 2.5
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