Launceston City 2-1 Kingborough Lions — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Australia - National Premier League, 28 Jun 2025

📅28/06/2025 · 🕒09:45 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 2-2 2nd Score 2-1
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
49%
1.64
Draw
24%
4.34
Away
27%
3.71
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
32%
Over 2.5
68%
Both Teams to Score
Yes
66%
1.33
No
34%
3.05
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
17%
2-3 Goals
33%
4-5 Goals
32%
6+ Goals
18%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
17%
1/2
8%
1/X
6%
X/1
22%
X/2
8%
X/X
12%
2/1
10%
2/2
12%
2/X
5%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
49%
Home Win
57%
-7.8pp
24%
Draw
20%
+3.8pp
27%
Away Win
24%
+3.9pp
66%
BTTS Yes
71%
-4.7pp
34%
BTTS No
29%
+4.7pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Launceston City EU Bookmakers 61%
Head to Head
AWAY Kingborough Lions EU Bookmakers 27%
+8% / +8% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations -3% / -3%
2.22/1.55 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 2.02/2.61
+4% / -15% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +46% / -27%
54% Ball Possession 46%
16 Total Shots 10
8 Shots on Target 4
6 Corners 4
361 · 80% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 314 · 78%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
3.0 Yellow Cards 1.4
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Launceston City
2W-0D-4L
AWAY Kingborough Lions
1.17 Avg Goals (FT) 1.83
48% Ball Possession 52%
8 Total Shots 16
4 Shots on Target 8
4 Corners 4
2 Yellow Cards 1
26.04.2025 Launceston City Launceston City 3-1 Kingborough Lions Kingborough Lions AVNPL
17.08.2024 Kingborough Lions Kingborough Lions 1-2 Launceston City Launceston City AVNPL
22.06.2024 Launceston City Launceston City 1-3 Kingborough Lions Kingborough Lions AVNPL
13.04.2024 Kingborough Lions Kingborough Lions 2-1 Launceston City Launceston City AVNPL
19.08.2023 Kingborough Lions Kingborough Lions 2-0 Launceston City Launceston City AVNPL
24.06.2023 Launceston City Launceston City 0-2 Kingborough Lions Kingborough Lions AVNPL
POST-MATCH Launceston City vs Kingborough Lions
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Launceston City squeezed past Kingborough Lions 2-1.

As our pre-match numbers suggested, our model had Launceston City as the likeliest winner at 49%, and the 2-1 landed on that lead. We had also flagged over 2.5 goals (68%), both teams to score (66%), and both reads landed as well.

Coming into the game, across their last 6 meetings in our records, Kingborough Lions led the recent series with 4 wins. Those games averaged 1.17 goals for Launceston City and 1.83 for Kingborough Lions.

What was the final score of Launceston City vs Kingborough Lions?

Launceston City 2-1 Kingborough Lions in the Australia - National Premier League on 28/06/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Launceston City vs Kingborough Lions?

Before kick-off our model rated a Launceston City win the most likely single outcome at about 49%, with the full match-result split Launceston City 49%, draw 24%, Kingborough Lions 27%. The final score 2-1 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Launceston City), Over 2.5, BTTS Yes — a clean sweep of the main markets.

✓ Match Result (Launceston City) ✓ Over 2.5 ✓ BTTS Yes
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