Heidelberg United 5-1 Hume City — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Australia - National Premier League, 14 Mar 2025

Heidelberg United
5-1 HT 1-1
Hume City
📅14/03/2025 · 🕒11:30 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-1 ✗ 2nd Score 1-0 ✗
Australia - National Premier League – 2025

Heidelberg United vs Hume City Prediction — Model Probabilities

MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
35%
2.67
Draw
33%
3.45
Away
32%
2.23
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
58%
1.95
Over 2.5
42%
1.78
Both Teams to Score
Yes
50%
1.68
No
50%
2.06
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
30%
2-3 Goals
42%
4-5 Goals
19%
6+ Goals
9%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
9%
1/2
7%
1/X
9%
X/1
17%
X/2
7%
X/X
17%
2/1
9%
2/2
18%
2/X
7%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
36%
Home Win
34%
+1.8pp
33%
Draw
26%
+7.2pp
32%
Away Win
41%
-9.1pp
58%
Under 2.5
48%
+10.6pp
42%
Over 2.5
52%
-10.6pp
50%
BTTS Yes
56%
-5.9pp
50%
BTTS No
44%
+5.9pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.

Heidelberg United v Hume City — Team-Based Signals

PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Heidelberg United EU Bookmakers 37%
Head to Head
AWAY Hume City EU Bookmakers 45%
+6% / +13% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +16% / +21%
1.29/1.62 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.70/0.68
-19% / +37% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +25% / +38%
49% Ball Possession 51%
11 Total Shots 10
4 Shots on Target 4
6 Corners 4
320 · 75% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 270 · 71%
– Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area –
17.6 Crosses 12.1
2.2 Yellow Cards 2.5

Heidelberg United vs Hume City Head-to-Head — Last 6 Meetings

H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Heidelberg United
3W-3D-0L
AWAY Hume City
1.83 Avg Goals (FT) 1.17
1.04 xG 1.22
46% Ball Possession 54%
12 Total Shots 13
6 Shots on Target 5
6 Corners 4
271 Passes 271
72% Pass Accuracy 72%
16 Crosses 16
2 Yellow Cards 3
The Meetings
26.07.2024 Heidelberg United Heidelberg United 1-1 HT 1-0 Hume City Hume City AVNPL
27.04.2024 Hume City Hume City 2-2 HT 0-1 Heidelberg United Heidelberg United AVNPL
26.05.2023 Heidelberg United Heidelberg United 1-0 HT 0-0 Hume City Hume City AVNPL
24.02.2023 Hume City Hume City 1-1 HT 0-1 Heidelberg United Heidelberg United AVNPL
17.07.2022 Heidelberg United Heidelberg United 3-2 HT 1-0 Hume City Hume City AVNPL
16.04.2022 Hume City Hume City 1-3 HT 0-3 Heidelberg United Heidelberg United AVNPL
POST-MATCH Heidelberg United vs Hume City
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Heidelberg United ran out comfortable winners over Hume City 5-1. The game was level at 1-1 at the break, so the decisive goals came after it. 6 goals made it one of the day's more open games.

Our pre-match split (36% / 33% / 32%) promised a tight game; Heidelberg United found the edge the numbers couldn't. The goals read — under 2.5 goals (58%) — went the other way, though.

Coming into the game, across their last 6 meetings in our records, Heidelberg United had the better of it with 3 wins, 3 drawn. Those games averaged 1.83 goals for Heidelberg United and 1.17 for Hume City.

What was the final score of Heidelberg United vs Hume City?

Heidelberg United 5-1 Hume City in the Australia - National Premier League on 14/03/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Heidelberg United vs Hume City?

Before kick-off our model rated a Heidelberg United win the most likely single outcome at about 36%, with the full match-result split Heidelberg United 36%, draw 33%, Hume City 32%. The final score 5-1 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Heidelberg United) — while Under 2.5 went the other way.

✓ Match Result (Heidelberg United) ✗ Under 2.5
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