Heidelberg United 1-1 Hume City — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Australia - National Premier League, 26 Jul 2024

📅26/07/2024 · 🕒12:45 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-0 2nd Score 1-1
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
40%
2.67
Draw
26%
3.35
Away
34%
2.32
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
51%
2.03
Over 2.5
49%
1.71
Both Teams to Score
Yes
49%
1.61
No
51%
2.16
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
27%
2-3 Goals
40%
4-5 Goals
23%
6+ Goals
10%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
13%
1/2
7%
1/X
7%
X/1
16%
X/2
11%
X/X
12%
2/1
10%
2/2
17%
2/X
7%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
39%
Home Win
34%
+5.5pp
26%
Draw
27%
-0.4pp
34%
Away Win
40%
-5.2pp
51%
Under 2.5
45%
+5.6pp
49%
Over 2.5
55%
-5.6pp
49%
BTTS Yes
58%
-8.7pp
51%
BTTS No
42%
+8.7pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Heidelberg United EU Bookmakers 37%
Head to Head
AWAY Hume City EU Bookmakers 43%
+7% / +14% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +22% / +29%
1.29/1.62 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.70/0.68
-15% / +32% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +42% / +46%
49% Ball Possession 51%
11 Total Shots 10
5 Shots on Target 4
6 Corners 5
282 · 72% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 283 · 74%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
17.6 Crosses 12.1
2.2 Yellow Cards 2.5
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Heidelberg United
3W-2D-1L
AWAY Hume City
1.67 Avg Goals (FT) 1.17
1.04 xG 1.22
48% Ball Possession 52%
12 Total Shots 12
5 Shots on Target 4
5 Corners 4
271 Passes 271
72% Pass Accuracy 72%
16 Crosses 16
2 Yellow Cards 3
27.04.2024 Hume City Hume City 2-2 HT 0-1 Heidelberg United Heidelberg United AVNPL
26.05.2023 Heidelberg United Heidelberg United 1-0 HT 0-0 Hume City Hume City AVNPL
24.02.2023 Hume City Hume City 1-1 HT 0-1 Heidelberg United Heidelberg United AVNPL
17.07.2022 Heidelberg United Heidelberg United 3-2 HT 1-0 Hume City Hume City AVNPL
16.04.2022 Hume City Hume City 1-3 HT 0-3 Heidelberg United Heidelberg United AVNPL
15.05.2021 Hume City Hume City 1-0 HT 1-0 Heidelberg United Heidelberg United AVNPL
POST-MATCH Heidelberg United vs Hume City
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Heidelberg United and Hume City shared the points in a 1-1 draw. It was 1-0 at half-time, meaning the result turned around in the second half.

We called this one close before kick-off — 39% / 26% / 34% — and a draw is about as on-script as that read gets.

Over 2.5 goals sat near a coin-flip at 49% and both teams to score was close to even at 49%.

For context: across their last 6 meetings in our records, Heidelberg United had the better of it with 3 wins, 2 drawn. Those games averaged 1.67 goals for Heidelberg United and 1.17 for Hume City.

What was the final score of Heidelberg United vs Hume City?

Heidelberg United 1-1 Hume City in the Australia - National Premier League on 26/07/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Heidelberg United vs Hume City?

Before kick-off our model rated a Heidelberg United win the most likely single outcome at about 39%, with the full match-result split Heidelberg United 39%, draw 26%, Hume City 34%. The final score 1-1 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Under 2.5 — while Match Result (Heidelberg United), BTTS No went the other way.

✗ Match Result (Heidelberg United) ✓ Under 2.5 ✗ BTTS No
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