Hume City 2-2 Heidelberg United — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Australia - National Premier League, 27 Apr 2024

📅27/04/2024 · 🕒12:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-1 2nd Score 0-1
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
39%
2.47
Draw
25%
3.45
Away
36%
2.39
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
52%
2.1
Over 2.5
48%
1.67
Both Teams to Score
Yes
50%
1.56
No
50%
2.27
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
26%
2-3 Goals
41%
4-5 Goals
24%
6+ Goals
9%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
21%
1/2
5%
1/X
8%
X/1
14%
X/2
13%
X/X
9%
2/1
4%
2/2
18%
2/X
8%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
39%
Home Win
37%
+2.5pp
25%
Draw
25%
-0.4pp
36%
Away Win
38%
-2.0pp
52%
Under 2.5
44%
+8.0pp
48%
Over 2.5
56%
-8.0pp
50%
BTTS Yes
60%
-9.7pp
50%
BTTS No
40%
+9.7pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Hume City EU Bookmakers 40%
Head to Head
AWAY Heidelberg United EU Bookmakers 42%
+11% / +9% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +21% / +19%
1.25/1.72 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.20/1.52
+17% / +47% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -9% / +46%
49% Ball Possession 51%
12 Total Shots 13
4 Shots on Target 4
5 Corners 5
305 · 75% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 326 · 76%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
15.3 Crosses 14.9
3.2 Yellow Cards 2.7
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Hume City
1W-1D-4L
AWAY Heidelberg United
0.83 Avg Goals (FT) 1.67
1.22 xG 1.04
52% Ball Possession 48%
11 Total Shots 13
4 Shots on Target 5
4 Corners 6
271 Passes 271
72% Pass Accuracy 72%
16 Crosses 16
3 Yellow Cards 2
26.05.2023 Heidelberg United Heidelberg United 1-0 HT 0-0 Hume City Hume City AVNPL
24.02.2023 Hume City Hume City 1-1 HT 0-1 Heidelberg United Heidelberg United AVNPL
17.07.2022 Heidelberg United Heidelberg United 3-2 HT 1-0 Hume City Hume City AVNPL
16.04.2022 Hume City Hume City 1-3 HT 0-3 Heidelberg United Heidelberg United AVNPL
15.05.2021 Hume City Hume City 1-0 HT 1-0 Heidelberg United Heidelberg United AVNPL
24.08.2014 Hume City Hume City 0-2 HT 0-0 Heidelberg United Heidelberg United AVNPL
POST-MATCH Hume City vs Heidelberg United
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Hume City and Heidelberg United shared the points in a 2-2 draw. Half-time: 0-1.

We called this one close before kick-off — 39% / 25% / 36% — and a draw is about as on-script as that read gets.

Over 2.5 goals sat near a coin-flip at 48% and both teams to score was close to even at 50%.

Coming into the game, across their last 6 meetings in our records, Heidelberg United led the recent series with 4 wins, 1 drawn. Those games averaged 0.83 goals for Hume City and 1.67 for Heidelberg United.

What was the final score of Hume City vs Heidelberg United?

Hume City 2-2 Heidelberg United in the Australia - National Premier League on 27/04/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Hume City vs Heidelberg United?

Before kick-off our model rated a Hume City win the most likely single outcome at about 39%, with the full match-result split Hume City 39%, draw 25%, Heidelberg United 36%. The final score 2-2 went against our main leads this time — single matches are noisy by nature; our accuracy is measured across thousands of predictions, not one result.

✗ Match Result (Hume City) ✗ Under 2.5
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