Manly United 1-2 Sutherland Sharks — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Australia - National Premier League, 26 Jul 2024

📅26/07/2024 · 🕒12:30 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-2 2nd Score 2-1
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
36%
2.57
Draw
24%
3.35
Away
40%
2.35
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
44%
1.91
Over 2.5
56%
1.8
Both Teams to Score
Yes
58%
1.68
No
42%
2.06
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
22%
2-3 Goals
42%
4-5 Goals
25%
6+ Goals
11%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
16%
1/2
6%
1/X
8%
X/1
13%
X/2
14%
X/X
9%
2/1
7%
2/2
20%
2/X
7%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
36%
Home Win
35%
+0.6pp
24%
Draw
26%
-2.4pp
40%
Away Win
39%
+1.8pp
44%
Under 2.5
48%
-4.9pp
56%
Over 2.5
52%
+4.9pp
58%
BTTS Yes
56%
+2.4pp
42%
BTTS No
44%
-2.4pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Manly United EU Bookmakers 39%
Head to Head
AWAY Sutherland Sharks EU Bookmakers 43%
+26% / +24% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +24% / +24%
1.70/1.22 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.48/0.92
+12% / +73% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +9% / +18%
50% Ball Possession 50%
13 Total Shots 14
5 Shots on Target 5
5 Corners 5
319 · 75% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 313 · 73%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
19.0 Crosses 15.7
2.4 Yellow Cards 1.8
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Manly United
3W-0D-3L
AWAY Sutherland Sharks
0.83 Avg Goals (FT) 1.00
0.99 xG 0.92
60% Ball Possession 40%
16 Total Shots 10
5 Shots on Target 3
9 Corners 4
422 Passes 250
80% Pass Accuracy 69%
23 Crosses 12
2 Yellow Cards 2
20.04.2024 Sutherland Sharks Sutherland Sharks 1-2 HT 1-2 Manly United Manly United AVNPL
29.07.2023 Manly United Manly United 1-0 HT 0-0 Sutherland Sharks Sutherland Sharks AVNPL
15.04.2023 Sutherland Sharks Sutherland Sharks 1-0 HT 0-0 Manly United Manly United AVNPL
03.06.2022 Manly United Manly United 2-1 HT 0-1 Sutherland Sharks Sutherland Sharks AVNPL
19.03.2022 Sutherland Sharks Sutherland Sharks 2-0 HT 1-0 Manly United Manly United AVNPL
23.04.2021 Manly United Manly United 0-1 HT 0-0 Sutherland Sharks Sutherland Sharks AVNPL
POST-MATCH Manly United vs Sutherland Sharks
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Sutherland Sharks squeezed past Manly United 2-1 away from home. It was 1-0 at half-time, meaning the result turned around in the second half.

We called this one close before kick-off — 36% / 24% / 40% — and on the day Sutherland Sharks made the difference. The goals side of the card held up too — over 2.5 goals (56%), both teams to score (58%) came in.

For context: across their last 6 meetings in our records, honours were even at 3 apiece. Those games averaged 0.83 goals for Manly United and 1.00 for Sutherland Sharks.

What was the final score of Manly United vs Sutherland Sharks?

Manly United 1-2 Sutherland Sharks in the Australia - National Premier League on 26/07/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Manly United vs Sutherland Sharks?

Before kick-off our model rated an Sutherland Sharks win the most likely single outcome at about 40%, with the full match-result split Manly United 36%, draw 24%, Sutherland Sharks 40%. The final score 1-2 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Sutherland Sharks), Over 2.5, BTTS Yes — a clean sweep of the main markets.

✓ Match Result (Sutherland Sharks) ✓ Over 2.5 ✓ BTTS Yes
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