Bayswater City 2-1 Sorrento — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Australia - National Premier League, 14 Mar 2025

📅14/03/2025 · 🕒14:15 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 2-2 2nd Score 2-1
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
36%
2.19
Draw
25%
3.8
Away
39%
2.51
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
34%
Over 2.5
66%
Both Teams to Score
Yes
63%
1.32
No
37%
3.08
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
17%
2-3 Goals
36%
4-5 Goals
30%
6+ Goals
17%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
18%
1/2
7%
1/X
8%
X/1
12%
X/2
11%
X/X
13%
2/1
6%
2/2
20%
2/X
5%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
36%
Home Win
42%
-5.4pp
25%
Draw
23%
+2.6pp
39%
Away Win
36%
+2.8pp
63%
BTTS Yes
72%
-8.5pp
37%
BTTS No
28%
+8.5pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Bayswater City EU Bookmakers 46%
Head to Head
AWAY Sorrento EU Bookmakers 40%
+4% / +1% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +4% / +6%
2.29/2.06 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.85/1.96
+35% / -25% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +13% / -17%
46% Ball Possession 54%
14 Total Shots 14
5 Shots on Target 6
5 Corners 5
250 · 73% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 340 · 79%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
1.7 Yellow Cards 1.1
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Bayswater City
2W-1D-3L
AWAY Sorrento
1.67 Avg Goals (FT) 2.83
54% Ball Possession 46%
11 Total Shots 14
4 Shots on Target 6
5 Corners 3
2 Yellow Cards 2
10.06.2023 Sorrento Sorrento 5-2 HT 2-2 Bayswater City Bayswater City AVNPL
17.03.2023 Bayswater City Bayswater City 1-4 Sorrento Sorrento AVNPL
09.07.2022 Bayswater City Bayswater City 4-2 HT 2-1 Sorrento Sorrento AVNPL
16.04.2022 Sorrento Sorrento 1-2 HT 1-1 Bayswater City Bayswater City AVUSB
04.09.2021 Bayswater City Bayswater City 0-4 HT 0-3 Sorrento Sorrento AVUSB
05.06.2021 Sorrento Sorrento 1-1 HT 0-1 Bayswater City Bayswater City AVUSB
POST-MATCH Bayswater City vs Sorrento
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Bayswater City squeezed past Sorrento 2-1. It was 0-1 at half-time, meaning the result turned around in the second half.

We called this one close before kick-off — 36% / 25% / 39% — and on the day Bayswater City made the difference. The goals side of the card held up too — over 2.5 goals (66%), both teams to score (63%) came in.

For context: across their last 6 meetings in our records, Sorrento led the recent series with 3 wins, 1 drawn. Those games averaged 1.67 goals for Bayswater City and 2.83 for Sorrento.

What was the final score of Bayswater City vs Sorrento?

Bayswater City 2-1 Sorrento in the Australia - National Premier League on 14/03/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Bayswater City vs Sorrento?

Before kick-off our model rated an Sorrento win the most likely single outcome at about 39%, with the full match-result split Bayswater City 36%, draw 25%, Sorrento 39%. The final score 2-1 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Over 2.5, BTTS Yes — while Match Result (Sorrento) went the other way.

✗ Match Result (Sorrento) ✓ Over 2.5 ✓ BTTS Yes
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