Port Melbourne 0-3 Melbourne Victory II — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Australia - National Premier League, 14 Mar 2025

📅14/03/2025 · 🕒12:15 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-0 2nd Score 0-1
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
41%
2.53
Draw
22%
3.28
Away
37%
2.47
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
53%
1.95
Over 2.5
47%
1.78
Both Teams to Score
Yes
47%
1.66
No
53%
2.09
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
29%
2-3 Goals
42%
4-5 Goals
20%
6+ Goals
9%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
18%
1/2
7%
1/X
5%
X/1
17%
X/2
12%
X/X
13%
2/1
6%
2/2
17%
2/X
5%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
41%
Home Win
36%
+4.9pp
22%
Draw
27%
-4.8pp
37%
Away Win
37%
-0.2pp
53%
Under 2.5
48%
+5.5pp
47%
Over 2.5
52%
-5.5pp
47%
BTTS Yes
56%
-9.2pp
53%
BTTS No
44%
+9.2pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Port Melbourne EU Bookmakers 40%
Head to Head
AWAY Melbourne Victory II EU Bookmakers 40%
-3% / +3% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +0% / +0%
–/– Expected GoalsScored / Conceded –/–
+3% / -6% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) /
47% Ball Possession 53%
10 Total Shots 12
4 Shots on Target 5
4 Corners 5
287 · 75% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 321 · 76%
34.0 Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
24.8 Crosses
2.5 Yellow Cards
POST-MATCH Port Melbourne vs Melbourne Victory II
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Melbourne Victory II cruised past Port Melbourne 3-0 away from home. Half-time: 0-1.

Our pre-match split (41% / 22% / 37%) promised a tight game; Melbourne Victory II found the edge the numbers couldn't.

Over 2.5 goals sat near a coin-flip at 47% and both teams to score was close to even at 47%.

What was the final score of Port Melbourne vs Melbourne Victory II?

Port Melbourne 0-3 Melbourne Victory II in the Australia - National Premier League on 14/03/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Port Melbourne vs Melbourne Victory II?

Before kick-off our model rated a Port Melbourne win the most likely single outcome at about 41%, with the full match-result split Port Melbourne 41%, draw 22%, Melbourne Victory II 37%. The final score 0-3 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on BTTS No — while Match Result (Port Melbourne), Under 2.5 went the other way.

✗ Match Result (Port Melbourne) ✗ Under 2.5 ✓ BTTS No
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