Persebaya Surabaya 4-0 PSBS Biak Numfor — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Indonesia League 1, 2 May 2026

📅02/05/2026 · 🕒11:30 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 3-1 2nd Score 2-1
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
79%
1.11
Draw
11%
8.78
Away
10%
10.87
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
30%
Over 2.5
70%
Both Teams to Score
Yes
57%
No
43%
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
17%
2-3 Goals
30%
4-5 Goals
32%
6+ Goals
21%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
54%
1/2
2%
1/X
2%
X/1
17%
X/2
2%
X/X
2%
2/1
8%
2/2
6%
2/X
7%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
79%
Home Win
85%
-6.0pp
11%
Draw
8%
+2.8pp
10%
Away Win
6%
+3.2pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Persebaya Surabaya EU Bookmakers 90%
Head to Head
AWAY PSBS Biak Numfor EU Bookmakers 9%
-14% / -14% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +2% / -1%
1.54/1.00 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 0.87/2.99
-33% / -32% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +15% / -37%
60% Ball Possession 40%
21 Total Shots 8
7 Shots on Target 3
7 Corners 4
417 · 85% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 268 · 78%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
Yellow Cards 1.9
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Persebaya Surabaya
2W-1D-0L
AWAY PSBS Biak Numfor
0.67 Avg Goals (FT) 0.00
37% Ball Possession 63%
4 Total Shots 22
1 Shots on Target 7
2 Corners 13
3 Yellow Cards 4
24.10.2025 PSBS Biak Numfor PSBS Biak Numfor 0-0 HT 0-0 Persebaya Surabaya Persebaya Surabaya ENDL1
15.02.2025 Persebaya Surabaya Persebaya Surabaya 1-0 HT 0-0 PSBS Biak Numfor PSBS Biak Numfor ENDL1
22.09.2024 PSBS Biak Numfor PSBS Biak Numfor 0-1 HT 0-1 Persebaya Surabaya Persebaya Surabaya ENDL1
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Persebaya Surabaya
4-0
AWAY PSBS Biak Numfor
64% Ball Possession 36%
35 Total Shots 11
18 Shots on Target 4
9 Corners 1
POST-MATCH Persebaya Surabaya vs PSBS Biak Numfor
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Persebaya Surabaya cruised past PSBS Biak Numfor 4-0. The game was level at 0-0 at the break, so the decisive goals came after it.

As our pre-match numbers suggested, our model had Persebaya Surabaya as the likeliest winner at 79%, and the 4-0 landed on that lead. On goals, over 2.5 goals (70%) landed while both teams to score (57%) missed.

On the day, Persebaya Surabaya had 64% of the ball to PSBS Biak Numfor's 36%, shots finished 35-11.

Coming into the game, across their last 3 meetings in our records, Persebaya Surabaya had the better of it with 2 wins, 1 drawn. Those games averaged 0.67 goals for Persebaya Surabaya and 0.00 for PSBS Biak Numfor.

What was the final score of Persebaya Surabaya vs PSBS Biak Numfor?

Persebaya Surabaya 4-0 PSBS Biak Numfor in the Indonesia League 1 on 02/05/2026. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Persebaya Surabaya vs PSBS Biak Numfor?

Before kick-off our model rated a Persebaya Surabaya win the most likely single outcome at about 79%, with the full match-result split Persebaya Surabaya 79%, draw 11%, PSBS Biak Numfor 10%. The final score 4-0 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Persebaya Surabaya), Over 2.5 — while BTTS Yes went the other way.

✓ Match Result (Persebaya Surabaya) ✓ Over 2.5 ✗ BTTS Yes
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