Persebaya Surabaya 1-0 PSBS Biak Numfor — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Indonesia League 1, 15 Feb 2025

📅15/02/2025 · 🕒15:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-1 2nd Score 1-0
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
49%
1.8
Draw
28%
3.54
Away
23%
3.71
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
55%
1.95
Over 2.5
45%
1.78
Both Teams to Score
Yes
50%
1.73
No
50%
1.99
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
25%
2-3 Goals
47%
4-5 Goals
20%
6+ Goals
8%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
23%
1/2
5%
1/X
8%
X/1
20%
X/2
7%
X/X
14%
2/1
6%
2/2
11%
2/X
6%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
💡 For the risk lovers: Under 2.5 ★★ — pattern-based signals at fair odds; informational, not a sized bet.
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
48%
Home Win
52%
-3.1pp
28%
Draw
25%
+3.4pp
23%
Away Win
24%
-0.3pp
55%
Under 2.5
48%
+7.5pp
45%
Over 2.5
52%
-7.5pp
50%
BTTS Yes
54%
-3.5pp
50%
BTTS No
46%
+3.4pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Persebaya Surabaya EU Bookmakers 56%
Head to Head
AWAY PSBS Biak Numfor EU Bookmakers 27%
+9% / +12% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +7% / +7%
1.58/0.91 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 0.99/0.99
+6% / +5% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -10% / +42%
51% Ball Possession 49%
12 Total Shots 8
5 Shots on Target 4
6 Corners 4
317 · 82% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 287 · 80%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
Yellow Cards 2.0
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Persebaya Surabaya
1W-0D-0L
AWAY PSBS Biak Numfor
1.00 Avg Goals (FT) 0.00
22.09.2024 PSBS Biak Numfor PSBS Biak Numfor 0-1 HT 0-1 Persebaya Surabaya Persebaya Surabaya ENDL1
POST-MATCH Persebaya Surabaya vs PSBS Biak Numfor
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Persebaya Surabaya edged past PSBS Biak Numfor 1-0. The game was level at 0-0 at the break, so the decisive goals came after it.

As our pre-match numbers suggested, our model had Persebaya Surabaya as the likeliest winner at 48%, and the 1-0 landed on that lead. We had also flagged under 2.5 goals (55%), and that read landed as well.

What was the final score of Persebaya Surabaya vs PSBS Biak Numfor?

Persebaya Surabaya 1-0 PSBS Biak Numfor in the Indonesia League 1 on 15/02/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Persebaya Surabaya vs PSBS Biak Numfor?

Before kick-off our model rated a Persebaya Surabaya win the most likely single outcome at about 48%, with the full match-result split Persebaya Surabaya 48%, draw 28%, PSBS Biak Numfor 23%. The final score 1-0 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Persebaya Surabaya), Under 2.5 — a clean sweep of the main markets.

✓ Match Result (Persebaya Surabaya) ✓ Under 2.5
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