Madura United vs Dewa United Prediction — Model Probabilities
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
Madura United v Dewa United — Team-Based Signals
Madura United vs Dewa United Head-to-Head — Last 3 Meetings
1-1
HT 1-1
Madura United
ENDL1
1-0
HT 1-0
Dewa United
ENDL1
Madura United 3-1 Dewa United — Actual Match Statistics
Madura United saw off Dewa United 3-1. Half-time: 2-0.
Our pre-match lean was Dewa United at 48%, but a lead that slim is closer to a coin-flip than a call — and it fell the other way.
Over 2.5 goals sat near a coin-flip at 47% and both teams to score was close to even at 50%.
On the day, Madura United had 41% of the ball to Dewa United's 59%, shots finished 7-7.
For context: across their last 3 meetings in our records, Madura United had the better of it with 1 wins, 2 drawn. Those games averaged 1.67 goals for Madura United and 1.33 for Dewa United.
What was the final score of Madura United vs Dewa United?
Madura United 3-1 Dewa United in the Indonesia League 1 on 15/02/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.
What did the model predict for Madura United vs Dewa United?
Before kick-off our model rated an Dewa United win the most likely single outcome at about 48%, with the full match-result split Madura United 26%, draw 26%, Dewa United 48%. The final score 3-1 went against our main leads this time — single matches are noisy by nature; our accuracy is measured across thousands of predictions, not one result.